arXiv:2604.14240cs.AIcs.LG2026-04中稿 · publication in Arc…综述被引 1

让复杂仿真模型变透明,用可解释AI揭示输入与结果的关系。

Interpretable and Explainable Surrogate Modeling for Simulations: A State-of-the-Art Survey and Perspectives on Explainable AI for Decision-Making

论文配图:Interpretable and Explainable Surrogate Modeling for Simulations: A State-of-the-Art Survey and Perspectives on Explainable AI for Decision-Making
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将可解释AI技术嵌入代理模型全流程,打通仿真与可解释性断层。
  • 在方程与代理模型中验证方法,提升对变量交互的理解力。
  • 适合需要决策支持的工程与科学仿真领域,推动智能决策落地。

复杂系统仿真日益依赖高度复杂但本质黑箱的计算模拟器。代理模型在多个科学与工程领域中显著降低仿真计算成本,却不可避免地继承甚至放大其黑箱特性,难以揭示输入变量如何影响物理响应。相比之下,可解释人工智能(XAI)提供了剖析模型的强大工具,但面对工程中的高相关输入、动态系统和严格可靠性要求时表现受限。因此,代理建模与XAI长期分属不同研究方向,尽管二者具有强互补性。本文综述现有XAI技术在代理模型工作流各阶段的应用,通过方程基础模拟与基于代理的建模实例进行验证,系统梳理各类方法在揭示变量交互与促进人类理解方面的优势。最后,识别出动态系统可解释性、混合变量系统处理等关键挑战,并提出将可解释性嵌入从模型构建到决策全过程的研究议程。通过将黑箱代理转化为可解释工具,该框架使从业者不仅能加速仿真,更能从复杂系统行为中提取可行动洞察。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The simulation of complex systems increasingly relies on sophisticated but fundamentally opaque computational black-box simulators. Surrogate models play a central role in reducing the computational cost of complex systems simulations across a wide range of scientific and engineering domains. Notwithstanding, they inevitably inherit and often exacerbate this black-box nature, obscuring how input variables drive physical responses. Conversely, Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) offers powerful tools to unpack these models. Yet, XAI methods struggle with engineering-specific constraints, such as highly correlated inputs, dynamical systems, and rigorous reliability requirements. Consequently, surrogate modeling and XAI have largely evolved as distinct fields of research, despite their strong complementarity. To reconnect these approaches, this state-of-the-art survey provides a structured perspective that maps existing XAI techniques onto the various stages of surrogate modeling workflows for design and exploration. To ground this synthesis, we draw upon illustrative applications across both equation-based simulations and agent-based modeling. We survey a broad spectrum of techniques, highlighting their strengths for revealing interactions and supporting human comprehension. Finally, we identify pressing open challenges, including the explainability of dynamical systems and the handling of mixed-variable systems, and propose a research agenda to make explainability a core, embedded element of simulation-driven workflows from model construction through decision-making. By transforming opaque emulators into explainable tools, this agenda empowers practitioners to move beyond accelerating simulations to extracting actionable insights from complex system behaviors.

可解释AI代理模型仿真优化决策支持

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