无需伤病标签,从多指标数据中识别运动员隐性生理状态
An unsupervised decision-support framework for multivariate biomarker analysis in athlete monitoring

- 构建联合生物标志物空间的无监督分析框架
- 发现机械损伤与代谢压力等可区分的生理状态
- 适合运动队个性化监控与潜在风险预警
运动员监测受限于小样本、生物标志物尺度不一、重复采样困难及缺乏可靠的伤病真实标签。这些限制降低了传统单变量和二分类风险模型的可解释性和实用性。本研究提出一种无监督多变量框架,利用真实数据识别运动员的潜在生理状态。方法上,构建模块化计算框架,在联合生物标志物空间中整合预处理、临床安全筛查、无监督聚类和基于质心的生理解释。模型仅在业余足球运动员一个比赛微周期内学习特征。通过合成数据增强评估鲁棒性与可扩展性。层次聚类(Ward)支持监测与病因区分,高斯混合模型(GMM)实现高维环境下的结构稳定性分析。结果表明,该框架能识别出区分机械损伤与代谢应激的连贯生理特征,同时保留稳态特征;合成数据验证了其可行性,并发现常规单变量监测难以捕捉的隐性风险表型。结构分析显示,在数据增强和高维条件下仍具鲁棒性。结论:该框架可在无伤病标签下,从多变量生物标志物数据中可解释地识别潜在生理状态,通过区分作用机制并揭示未被传统监测捕获的隐性风险模式,为个体化运动员监控与决策提供有效支持。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Purpose. Athlete monitoring is constrained by small cohorts, heterogeneous biomarker scales, limited feasibility of repeated sampling, and the lack of reliable injury ground truth. These limitations reduce the interpretability and utility of traditional univariate and binary risk models. This study addresses these challenges by proposing an unsupervised multivariate framework to identify latent physiological states in athletes using real data. Methods. We propose a modular computational framework that operates in the joint biomarker space, integrating preprocessing, clinical safety screening, unsupervised clustering, and centroid-based physiological interpretation. Profiles are learned exclusively from amateur soccer players during a competitive microcycle. Synthetic data augmentation evaluates robustness and scalability. Ward hierarchical clustering supports monitoring and etiological differentiation, while Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) enable structural stability analysis in high-dimensional settings. Results. The framework identifies coherent profiles that distinguish mechanical damage from metabolic stress while preserving homeostatic states. Synthetic data augmentation demonstrates feasibility and detection of latent silent risk phenotypes typically missed by univariate monitoring. Structural analyses indicate robustness under augmentation and higher-dimensional settings. Conclusion. The framework enables interpretable identification of latent physiological states from multivariate biomarker data without injury labels. By distinguishing mechanisms and revealing silent risk patterns not captured by conventional monitoring, it provides actionable insights for individualized athlete monitoring and decision making.
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