arXiv:2604.15782cs.LGphysics.soc-ph2026-04

用收费站数据校正手机信令,生成高精度交通出行数据

Fusing Cellular Network Data and Tollbooth Counts for Urban Traffic Flow Estimation

论文配图:Fusing Cellular Network Data and Tollbooth Counts for Urban Traffic Flow Estimation
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用手机信令与收费站数据融合建模,学习时空特征映射关系
  • 在挪威特隆赫姆公交枢纽验证,生成按车长分类的小时级出行矩阵
  • 适合缺乏传感器的城市场景,助力交通规划决策

交通模拟需要按车辆类别划分的起止点(OD)数据。现有数据存在缺陷:收费站传感器稀疏但按类别计数准确,而手机网络移动数据覆盖广但缺乏出行方式区分且存在系统性偏差。本研究提出一种机器学习框架,以稀疏的收费站数据为真实值,校正并拆分手机信令数据。模型利用时空特征学习聚合移动数据与车辆数据之间的复杂关系,从通勤路线推断目的地,并通过路径逻辑将修正后的流量分配至各OD对。该方法应用于挪威特隆赫姆公交枢纽扩建项目,生成按车辆长度类别划分的小时级OD矩阵。结果表明,有限但准确的传感器数据可有效校正大规模但聚合的移动数据,生成可信的背景车流估计。这些宏观尺度数据可进一步细化至微观分析所需位置。该框架具有通用性,能从手机信令数据生成OD数据,支持数据匮乏地区开展精细化交通模拟与基础设施规划。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traffic simulations, essential for planning urban transit infrastructure interventions, require vehicle-category-specific origin-destination (OD) data. Existing data sources are imperfect: sparse tollbooth sensors provide accurate vehicle counts by category, while extensive mobility data from cellular network activity captures aggregated crowd movement, but lack modal disaggregation and have systematic biases. This study develops a machine learning framework to correct and disaggregate cellular network data using sparse tollbooth counts as ground truth. The model uses temporal and spatial features to learn the complex relationship between aggregated mobility data and vehicular data. The framework infers destinations from transit routes and implements routing logic to distribute corrected flows between OD pairs. This approach is applied to a bus depot expansion in Trondheim, Norway, generating hourly OD matrices by vehicle length category. The results show how limited but accurate sensor measurements can correct extensive but aggregated mobility data to produce grounded estimates of background vehicular traffic flows. These macro-scale estimates can be refined for micro-scale analysis at desired locations. The framework provides a generalisable approach for generating origin-destination data from cellular network data. This enables downstream tasks, like detailed traffic simulations for infrastructure planning in data-scarce contexts, supporting urban planners in making informed decisions.

交通流估计手机信令数据融合

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