通过解耦证据学习,实现更可信的抑郁程度评估。
EviDep: Trustworthy Multimodal Depression Estimation via Disentangled Evidential Learning

- 用正态逆伽马分布同时量化抑郁程度与不确定性。
- 在多个数据集上准确率领先,且不确定性校准效果更好。
- 适合需要可信赖决策支持的临床辅助场景。
在自然环境下自动进行多模态抑郁程度估计面临真实噪声和行为复杂性挑战。现有确定性方法仅输出无校准的点估计,无法量化预测不确定性,导致决策易受过度自信影响。为建立可靠可信的评估范式,我们提出EviDep,一种基于正态逆伽马分布的证据学习框架,可联合估计抑郁严重程度以及认知不确定性和偶然不确定性。为确保提取的行为证据完整性并防止多模态融合时人工置信度膨胀,EviDep引入两项定制机制:首先,针对行为线索的时间-频率异质性,设计频域感知特征提取模块,利用小波基混合专家网络动态分离稳定的宏观情感基线与瞬时的微观行为波动,有效过滤任务无关伪影;其次,提出解耦证据学习策略,在净化表示中显式解耦特征,于贝叶斯融合前分离跨模态共享共识与模态特异性行为细节,严格避免信息重复计算。在AVEC 2013、AVEC 2014、DAIC-WOZ和E-DAIC数据集上的大量实验表明,EviDep在预测准确率和不确定性校准方面均达到当前最优水平,从而提供了一种风险感知、值得信赖的抑郁评估辅助工具。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Automated multimodal depression estimation in unconstrained environments is inherently challenged by naturalistic noise and complex behavioral variability. Prevailing deterministic methods, however, produce uncalibrated point estimates without quantifying predictive uncertainty, exposing decision-making to the risk of overconfident, untrustworthy estimates. To establish a reliable and trustworthy estimation paradigm, we propose EviDep, an evidential learning framework that jointly quantifies depression severity alongside aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties via a Normal-Inverse-Gamma distribution. To ensure the integrity of the extracted behavioral evidence and prevent artificial confidence inflation during multimodal fusion, EviDep introduces two tailored mechanisms. First, addressing the temporal-frequency heterogeneity of behavioral cues, a Frequency-aware Feature Extraction module leverages a wavelet-based Mixture-of-Experts to dynamically decouple stable macro-level affective baselines from transient micro-level behavioral bursts, effectively filtering out task-irrelevant artifacts. Second, a Disentangled Evidential Learning strategy enforces explicit decorrelation of features in these purified representations. By separating the cross-modal shared consensus from modality-specific behavioral nuances before Bayesian fusion, this rigorous disentanglement strictly prevents the model from double-counting overlapping information. Extensive experiments on the AVEC 2013, AVEC 2014, DAIC-WOZ, and E-DAIC datasets confirm that EviDep achieves state-of-the-art predictive accuracy and superior uncertainty calibration, thereby delivering a trustworthy, risk-aware decision-support tool for depression estimation.
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