arXiv:2604.17841cs.RO2026-04

提出二维避撞加速度,更精准预测驾驶风险。

Driving risk emerges from the required two-dimensional joint evasive acceleration

论文配图:Driving risk emerges from the required two-dimensional joint evasive acceleration
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 从二维角度定义避撞所需最小加速度作为风险度量
  • 在5个数据集和600+真实碰撞中提前预警且区分碰撞效果最佳
  • 适合自动驾驶系统风险建模与安全评估研究者

当前自动驾驶安全评估多采用碰撞时间(TTC)衡量风险,但TTC将风险视为一维逼近问题,忽略了碰撞规避的二维本质,难以准确捕捉风险演化。本文提出无超参数、物理可解释的二维避撞加速度(Evasive Acceleration, EA)范式:通过评估所有可能的规避方向,将风险定义为使相对运动变为无碰撞所需的最小恒定相对加速度矢量的模。基于五个公开数据集及超过600起真实碰撞数据,我们构建分位数预警阈值,发现EA在所有阈值下均提供最早且统计显著的预警。此外,EA对最终碰撞结果的判别能力最优,信息保留率比所有对比基线提升54.2%至241.4%。将EA加入现有方法,信息增益是反向操作的17.5至95.5倍,表明EA不仅捕获了现有方法中的多数关键信息,还贡献大量非冗余增量。总体而言,EA更准确刻画碰撞风险结构,为下一代自动驾驶系统奠定基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Most autonomous driving safety benchmarks use time-to-collision (TTC) to assess risk and guide safe behaviour. However, TTC-based methods treat risk as a one-dimensional closing problem, despite the inherently two-dimensional nature of collision avoidance, and therefore cannot faithfully capture risk or its evolution over time. Here, we report evasive acceleration (EA), a hyperparameter-free and physically interpretable two-dimensional paradigm for risk quantification. By evaluating all possible directions of collision avoidance, EA defines risk as the minimum magnitude of a constant relative acceleration vector required to alter the relative motion and make the interaction collision-free. Using interaction data from five open datasets and more than 600 real crashes, we derive percentile-based warning thresholds and show that EA provides the earliest statistically significant warning across all thresholds. Moreover, EA provides the best discrimination of eventual collision outcomes and improves information retention by 54.2-241.4% over all compared baselines. Adding EA to existing methods yields 17.5-95.5 times more information gain than adding existing methods to EA, indicating that EA captures much of the outcome-relevant information in existing methods while contributing substantial additional nonredundant information. Overall, EA better captures the structure of collision risk and provides a foundation for next-generation autonomous driving systems.

自动驾驶风险评估二维避撞安全基准

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