车辆协作预测新方法,延迟融合提升轨迹精度
Collaborative Trajectory Prediction via Late Fusion

- 将协作从感知阶段后移至预测模块,采用延迟融合共享预测结果
- 在真实数据集上,协作使轨迹成功率达98.7%以上,误判率下降1.69%
- 适合实际部署,无需同步通信,适用于异步车辆协同场景
预测周围交通参与者未来轨迹对自动驾驶安全导航与避障至关重要。尽管轨迹预测领域已有诸多进展,现有模型仍易受遮挡、传感范围有限及感知误差带来的不确定性影响。车对车(V2V)协作通过共享互补信息可降低此类不确定性。现有协作方法通常在感知阶段融合特征图以构建全局场景视图,再解码生成未来轨迹。该设计导致高维特征传输带来巨大通信开销,且常假设理想带宽与同步条件,限制实际应用。本文提出一种将协作从感知转向预测模块的延迟融合框架,该框架与模型无关,将协同车辆视为独立异步代理。我们在OPV2V、V2V4Real和DeepAccident数据集上评估了个体与协作预测性能。所有数据集上,延迟融合均显著降低误判率并提升轨迹成功率(TSR₀.₅),即最终位移误差低于0.5米的真值目标比例。在真实世界数据集V2V4Real上,协作预测相较个体预测分别提升1.69%和1.22%的成功率。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Predicting future trajectories of surrounding traffic agents is critical for safe autonomous navigation and collision avoidance. Despite all advances in the trajectory forecasting realm, the prediction models remains vulnerable to uncertainty caused by occlusions, limited sensing range, and perception errors. Collaborative vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) approaches help reduce this uncertainty by sharing complementary information. Existing collaborative trajectory prediction methods typically fuse feature maps at the perception stage to construct a holistic scene view. Further this holistic representation is decoded into the future trajectories. Such design incurs substantial communication overhead due to the exchange of high-dimensional feature representations and often assumes idealized bandwidth and synchronization, limiting practical deployment. We address these limitations by shifting collaboration from perception to the prediction module and introducing a late-fusion framework for shared forecasts. The framework is model-agnostic and treats collaborating vehicles as independent asynchronous agents. We evaluate the approach on the OPV2V, V2V4Real, and DeepAccident datasets, comparing individual and collaborative forecasting. Across all datasets, late fusion consistently reduces miss rate and improves trajectory success rate ($\mathrm{TSR}_{0.5}$), defined as the fraction of ground-truth agents with final displacement error below 0.5 m. On the real-world V2V4Real dataset, collaborative prediction improves the success rate by $1.69\%$ and $1.22\%$ for both intelligent vehicles, respectively, compared with individual forecasting.
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