融合地形知识与少量数据,提升缺资料区滑坡预测精度。
Knowledge-Data Dually Driven Paradigm for Accurate Landslide Susceptibility Prediction under Data-Scarce Conditions Using Geomorphic Priors and Tabular Foundation Model

- 用地形先验知识补充数据不足,双驱动建模。
- 仅用30%数据即达全量数据模型精度。
- 适合高原冻土等数据稀缺地区应用。
滑坡易发性预测对地质灾害风险评估与防治至关重要。传统数据驱动方法虽精度高,但需充足条件因子和大规模滑坡清单,而在山区与高原的工程实践中,常面临数据稀缺问题,导致该方法难以适用。为此,本文提出一种知识-数据双驱动范式,在数据稀缺条件下实现精准滑坡易发性预测。核心思想是融合地形学先验知识与有限滑坡数据。为验证该范式,首先在意大利中部数据丰富区应用,以全数据训练的常规模型为基准;仅使用30%滑坡数据时,新范式即达到相近预测精度,证明其在数据稀缺下的有效性。进一步在青藏高原祁连冻土区(真实数据稀缺环境)验证,仍获得可靠易发性预测结果,确认其实际适用性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Landslide susceptibility prediction is critical for geohazard risk assessment and mitigation. Conventional data-driven paradigm achieves high predictive accuracy but require sufficient conditioning factors and large-scale landslide inventories. However, in practical engineering applications across mountainous and plateau regions, data-scarce conditions are commonly observed, where such data requirements are rarely satisfied, rendering conventional data-driven paradigm inapplicable. To address this issue, we propose a knowledge-data dually driven paradigm for accurate landslide susceptibility prediction under data-scarce conditions. The essential idea behind the proposed novel paradigm is the integration of the geomorphic prior knowledge with scarce landslide data. To validate the proposed paradigm, we first applied it to a data-rich region in central Italy, where a conventional data-driven paradigm trained on the full dataset served as the baseline. By utilizing only 30% of the available landslide data, the proposed paradigm achieved comparable predictive accuracy to the baseline, demonstrating its effectiveness under data-scarce conditions. The paradigm was further evaluated in a genuinely data-scarce environment for application, the Qilian Permafrost Region of the Tibetan Plateau, where it also yielded reliable susceptibility predictions, confirming its applicability under data-scarce conditions.
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