arXiv:2604.27725cs.HCcs.AI2026-04被引 1

将经济直觉自动转化为可执行实验的智能系统。

AgentEconomist: An End-to-end Agentic System Translating Economic Intuitions into Executable Computational Experiments

论文配图:AgentEconomist: An End-to-end Agentic System Translating Economic Intuitions into Executable Computational Experiments
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 基于1.3万篇论文构建领域知识库,分三阶段自动转化经济想法
  • 生成的研究设想比现有大模型更具文献支撑和创新性
  • 适合经济学研究者快速验证直觉,提升科研效率

经济学长期面临的挑战并非缺乏直觉,而在于难以将直觉转化为可验证的研究。为此,我们提出 AgentEconomist,一个端到端的交互式系统,可将抽象经济直觉转化为可执行的计算实验。系统基于覆盖超过13,000篇高质量学术论文的领域知识库,采用模块化多阶段架构:第一阶段生成基于文献的假设,第二阶段配置与模拟器对齐的实验参数与流程,第三阶段执行实验并返回结构化分析。三阶段构成人机协同、迭代优化的工作流,实现从直觉到可执行实验的转化。通过专家评估与大语言模型作为裁判的大量实验,结果表明该系统生成的研究设想在文献支撑度、新颖性和洞察力方面均优于当前最先进的通用大模型。AgentEconomist 采用人机协作范式,使研究者聚焦高层次直觉,而将翻译与计算执行等繁重任务交由智能体完成。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

A long-standing challenge in economics lies not in the lack of intuition, but in the difficulty of translating intuitive insights into verifiable research. To address this challenge, we introduce AgentEconomist, an end-to-end interactive system designed to translate abstract intuitions into executable computational experiments. Grounded in a domain-specific knowledge base covering over 13,000 high-quality academic papers, the system employs a modular multi-stage architecture. Specifically, the Idea Development Stage generates literature-grounded hypotheses, the Experimental Design Stage configures simulator-aligned experimental parameters and protocols, and the Experimental Execution Stage runs experiments and returns structured analyses. Together, these stages form a human-in-the-loop, iterative workflow that translates economic intuitions into executable computational experiments. Through extensive experiments involving human expert evaluation and large language models (LLMs) as judges, we show that the system generates research ideas with stronger literature grounding and higher novelty and insight than state-of-the-art generic LLMs. Overall, AgentEconomist adopts a human-AI collaboration paradigm that enables researchers to focus on high-level intuitions, while delegating the labor-intensive processes of translation and computational execution to agents.

经济模拟智能代理人机协作

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