arXiv:2605.02629cs.CLcs.CY2026-05

通过多层网络分析意大利推特上宫颈癌疫苗争议的演变,揭示信息扭曲如何被重构与放大。

Mapping Discourse Reframing: A Multi-Layer Network Approach to Italian HPV Vaccine Discourse on X (2010-2024)

论文配图:Mapping Discourse Reframing: A Multi-Layer Network Approach to Italian HPV Vaccine Discourse on X (2010-2024)
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 构建双层网络:先识别核心共识群体,再投影边缘话题到核心以捕捉隐性信号。
  • 在14年数据中发现反疫苗情绪从分散走向分化,且阴谋论标签逐渐渗透核心圈层。
  • 适合关注舆情演化、虚假信息传播与社会极化的研究者和政策制定者。

理解在线叙事如何通过联盟传播对于识别信息失序至关重要,但现有计算分析常依赖保守的网络构建方法,忽略初期稀疏却关键的信号。本文提出一种新型多层框架,能够捕捉新兴信息失序中的低频信号,从而定位在线话语在时间上的重构与放大节点。以2010–2024年意大利推特(X)平台上关于人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)疫苗的14年讨论为案例,采用话题标签共现网络,引入双层结构:首先通过保守社区检测识别出稳定的预防导向核心联盟,其与日益分离的怀疑型联盟形成对比;随后建立覆盖层,基于加权连通性将边缘话题标签投影至核心联盟。利用人工标注的怀疑与阴谋论种子推文,验证该核心-覆盖投影显著提升了对长尾问题标签的召回率,同时保持联盟结构可解释性。研究结果揭示了极化叙事的结构性演进,提供了一种追踪话语重构与信息失序放大的方法论工具。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Understanding how online narratives travel through coalitions is critical for identifying information disorder, yet computational analyses often rely on conservative network constructions that erase initially sparse but salient signals. This paper proposes a novel multi-layer framework that captures low-frequency signals of emerging information disorder allowing for locating where online discourse is reframed and amplified over time. The use case is 14 years of Italian discourse on X regarding the Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine across three pivotal epochs (2010-2024). Utilizing hashtag co-occurrence networks, we introduce a dual-layer approach. We first identify robust core discourse coalitions through conservative community detection, revealing a stable prevention-oriented backbone contrasted with increasingly separable skepticism coalitions. We then introduce a coverage layer and project fringe hashtags into core coalitions based on weighted connectivity. Using a manually labelled set of skeptical and conspiratorial seed tweets, we demonstrate that this core-coverage projection significantly improves the recovery of long-tail, problematic hashtags while preserving an interpretable coalition structure. Our findings characterize the structural maturation of polarized narratives and provide a methodology for mapping how discourse is reframed and amplified by information disorder over time.

舆情分析信息失序网络结构

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