arXiv:2605.04744cs.LG2026-05

用混合模型与深度学习预测作物在不同环境下的表现,提升育种效率。

MixINN: Accelerating Plant Breeding by Combining Mixed Models and Deep Learning for Interaction Prediction

论文配图:MixINN: Accelerating Plant Breeding by Combining Mixed Models and Deep Learning for Interaction Prediction
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 先用混合模型提取精准的基因型-环境互作标签
  • 再用神经网络预测新品种在未来的产量排名,准确率提升5.8%~7.2%
  • 适合气候适应性育种和农业AI研究者使用

作物育种通过持续改良产量、品质和可持续性保障全球粮食安全,依赖反复的品种评估、选择与杂交。气候变化改变了局部生长条件,导致基因型相对表现变化,准确预测这种变化对粮食安全至关重要。然而该问题在植物育种中仍属开放挑战,且在人工智能领域研究较少。本文提出MixINN,首先利用混合模型提取高质量的基因型-环境互作标签,再通过深度神经网络预测新品种在未来环境中的表现。我们在美国本土玉米多环境试验数据上验证了该方法,结果显示其在基因型排序预测上优于现有育种方法。在识别前20%高产玉米品种时,平均产量提高5.8%,针对特定生长环境更达7.2%。这些成果具有现实育种应用价值,展现了人工智能加速气候适应性作物研发的潜力,有助于应对气候变化下的未来粮食安全挑战。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Plant breeding underpins global food security through incremental, accumulating improvements in crop yield, quality and sustainability, achieved via repeated cycles of crop ranking, selection and crossing. Climate change disrupts this process by altering local growing conditions, thereby shifting the relative performance of crop genotypes. Predicting these relative changes in yield is critical for food security. Yet, this problem remains an open challenge in plant breeding, and relatively unexplored within the AI community. We propose MixINN, an approach that first isolates high-quality genotype-environment interaction labels using mixed models, and then predicts these interactions for new crop varieties in future environmental conditions with a deep neural network. We evaluate our method on a corn multi-environment trial across the continental United States and show improved prediction of genotype ranking over current plant breeding methods. MixINN demonstrated superior performance in identifying the 20% most productive corn genotypes, leading to a 5.8% higher average yield, which further improved to 7.2% when targeting specific growing environments. These are competitive results for real-world breeding programs, demonstrating the potential of AI research in accelerating the development of climate-adapted crops, and improving future food security under climate change.

作物育种深度学习环境互作粮食安全

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