融合语义与推理信息,提升心理健康预测的可信度与鲁棒性。
Beyond Semantics: An Evidential Reasoning-Aware Multi-View Learning Framework for Trustworthy Mental Health Prediction

- 结合编码器与解码器模型,获取语义与推理双重信息。
- 在三个真实数据集上准确率最高达83.5%,且具备可靠不确定性估计。
- 适合需要可解释性与高可信度的心理健康风险评估场景。
基于文本的自动化心理健康预测在深度学习和大语言模型下展现出良好前景,但其在高风险现实场景中的部署仍面临挑战:现有方法主要依赖语义表示,在数据模糊、噪声或分布偏移时易产生过度自信预测,且缺乏可靠的不确定性估计。为此,本文将任务建模为多视角学习问题,整合仅编码器模型的语义信息与仅解码器模型的高层推理信息,通过基于主观逻辑的证据学习框架显式建模不确定性,并设计证据融合策略,在融合互补视图的同时抑制不可靠证据。在Dreaddit、SDCNL和DepSeverity三个真实数据集上,准确率分别为0.835、0.731和0.751,验证了其在可靠预测方面的潜力。额外的抗噪实验与可解释性案例分析表明,该框架不仅提升性能,还提供可信的不确定性估计与人类可理解的推理信号,适用于高风险心理健康评估场景。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Automated mental health prediction using textual data has shown promising results with deep learning and large language models. However, deploying these models in high-stakes real-world settings remains challenging, as existing approaches largely rely on semantic representations and often produce overconfident predictions under ambiguous, noisy, or shifted data. Moreover, most methods lack reliable uncertainty estimation, undermining trust in risk-sensitive mental health applications. To address these limitations, we formulate the task as a multi-view learning problem that integrates semantic information from encoder-only models with higher-level reasoning information from decoder-only models, where reasoning-aware representations and uncertainty modeling are obtained in a trustworthy manner. To ensure reliable fusion, we adopt an evidential learning framework based on Subjective Logic to explicitly model uncertainty and introduce an evidential fusion strategy that balances complementary views while discounting unreliable evidence. Benchmarking on three real-world datasets, Dreaddit, SDCNL, and DepSeverity, reports accuracies of 0.835, 0.731, and 0.751, respectively, demonstrating its potential for reliable mental health prediction. Additional experiments on robustness to noise and case studies for interpretability confirm that our proposed framework not only improves predictive performance but also provides trustworthy uncertainty estimates and human-understandable reasoning signals, making it suitable for risk-sensitive applications in mental health assessment.
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