通过提前终止无信息的多样本轨迹，显著降低大模型强化学习训练成本。

Group-relative RL training (GRPO) samples a small group of parallel rollouts for every training prompt and uses their within-group reward spread to compute per-trajectory advantages. In agentic environments each rollout is a long multi-turn dialogue with one LLM call per step, so this multi-sample multiplier dominates the total training cost. When every rollout of a prompt ends with the same reward, the group has zero reward variance and contributes no gradient, so the extra rollouts add no information; such groups are common in practice (typically around 40% of all groups), so the wasted-compute fraction is substantial rather than marginal. Existing methods filter such groups at the prompt level, either after their rollouts are paid for or before any rollout begins, but both decide without using information that becomes available during the rollout itself. We instead ask whether the in-group divergence between the partial trajectories at an intermediate step can already predict that the group will be zero-variance: when the parallel rollouts have already converged on the same action prefix, the group is on track to produce a single reward, and we can stop early. We propose a one-parameter gate that stops a group when the mean pairwise prefix edit distance between its partial action sequences falls below a threshold. On a 60-iteration on-policy GRPO run on ALFWorld with Qwen2.5-7B, averaged over four random seeds, the gated arm finishes 10.7% faster in wall-clock (bootstrap 95% CI excludes 0) and shifts held-out success rate on 50 unseen tasks by +2.5 pp, with the held-out gain tracing to a measurable reduction in zero-advantage gradient-batch dilution. Code is available at https://github.com/zhiyuanZhai20/selective-rollout.