用放射科医生知识构建因果概念瓶颈模型,提升胸部X光诊断可解释性。
Radiologist-Guided Causal Concept Bottleneck Models for Chest X-Ray Interpretation

- 基于概率性噪声或模型建模疾病到影像表现的生成过程。
- 在MIMIC-CXR上实现更高AUROC和更好校准,解释更贴近专家推理路径。
- 融合放射科医生定义的临床逻辑,适合需要可信医疗AI的场景。
医学影像中的概念瓶颈模型(CBMs)通过预测中间临床概念来提升模型可解释性。然而,现有方法多将概念视为病理标签的判别特征,未显式建模疾病产生影像表现的临床生成过程。本文提出XpertCausal,一种由放射科医生指导的因果CBM,用于胸部X光解读。该模型采用概率性噪声或框架建模病理到概念的关系,并通过贝叶斯推断反向估计病理概率。利用放射科医生标注的概念-病理关联约束模型结构,确保其遵循临床合理推理路径。在MIMIC-CXR数据集上评估显示,与非因果CBM基线及无约束学习关系的因果消融模型相比,XpertCausal在病理分类性能、校准度、解释质量以及与专家推理路径的一致性方面均有提升,学习到的概念-病理关系更符合专家知识。结果表明,在CBMs中引入临床驱动的因果结构与专家知识,可构建更准确、可解释且临床对齐的胸片分析模型。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) in medical imaging aim to improve model interpretability by predicting intermediate clinical concepts before final diagnoses. However, most existing CBMs treat concepts as discriminative predictors of pathology labels, without explicitly modelling the underlying clinical generative process where diseases produce observable radiographic findings. We propose XpertCausal, a radiologist-guided causal CBM for chest X-ray interpretation which models pathology-to-concept relationships using a probabilistic noisy-OR framework. This generative model is then inverted via Bayesian inference to estimate pathology probabilities from predicted concepts. Radiologist-curated concept-pathology associations are used to constrain model structure to radiologist-defined clinically plausible reasoning pathways. We evaluate XpertCausal on MIMIC-CXR across pathology classification performance, calibration, explanation quality, and alignment with radiologist-defined reasoning pathways. Compared with both a non-causal CBM baseline and a causal ablation with unconstrained learned associations, XpertCausal achieves improved AUROC, calibration, and clinically relevant explanation quality, while learning concept-pathology relationships that more closely align with expert knowledge. These results demonstrate that incorporating clinically motivated causal structure and expert domain knowledge into CBMs can lead to more accurate, interpretable, and clinically aligned models for CXR interpretation.
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