arXiv:2605.13711cs.LG2026-05被引 1

用采样模式增强大模型,提升不规则多模态医疗数据预测能力

MILM: Large Language Models for Multimodal Irregular Time Series with Informative Sampling

论文配图:MILM: Large Language Models for Multimodal Irregular Time Series with Informative Sampling
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将多模态不规则时间序列转为带时间顺序的XML三元组,分两阶段训练大模型
  • 在多个EHR数据集上平均性能领先,采样模式本身蕴含关键预测信息
  • 特别擅长值缺失场景,适合医疗诊断等需应对数据不全的任务

多模态不规则时间序列(MITS)包含异步且非均匀采样的数值与文本通道数据。以电子健康记录(EHR)为例,患者包含不定期的化验结果和临床笔记。观测的时间与通道模式本身携带预测信号,与数值和文本内容同等重要。我们提出MILM(Multimodal Irregular time series Language Model),将MITS表示为时间有序的XML三元组,并采用两阶段策略微调大语言模型(LLM)用于分类任务。第一阶段在值被遮蔽的MITS上训练,仅从采样模式预测;第二阶段在完整数据上联合建模采样模式与观测值。两阶段模型(MILM-2S)与单阶段模型(MILM-Direct)在多个EHR数据集上分别取得最佳与次佳平均表现。值遮蔽评估证实采样模式具有预测价值,且MILM-2S能有效利用。在值待定评估中(部分值不可用),MILM-2S相较标准评估表现优势更大;进一步保留值待定观测的时间与通道信息作为采样补充,可显著提升院内死亡率预测效果。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Multimodal irregular time series (MITS) consist of asynchronous and irregularly sampled observations from heterogeneous numerical and textual channels. In healthcare, for example, patients' electronic health records (EHR) include irregular lab measurements and clinical notes. The irregular timing and channel patterns of observations carry predictive signal alongside the numerical values and textual content. LLMs are natural candidates for processing such heterogeneous data, given their extensive pretrained knowledge spanning textual and numerical domains. We introduce MILM (Multimodal Irregular time series Language Model), which represents MITS as time-ordered triplets in Extensible Markup Language (XML) format and fine-tunes an LLM through a two-stage strategy for MITS classification. The first stage trains on value-redacted MITS to predict from sampling patterns alone, and the second stage trains on full MITS to jointly model sampling patterns and observed values. Our two-stage model (MILM-2S) and its single-stage counterpart (MILM-Direct) achieve the best and second-best average performance on multiple EHR datasets. Further value redaction evaluations confirm that sampling patterns carry predictive signal and that MILM-2S learns to exploit them. In the value pending evaluation we introduce, where some values are unavailable at prediction time, MILM-2S outperforms MILM-Direct by a larger margin compared to standard evaluation. For MILM-2S, preserving the time and channel of value-pending observations as additional sampling information further improves in-hospital mortality prediction.

多模态时间序列医疗AI大模型

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