arXiv:2605.15549cs.LGcs.AI2026-05被引 4

为核裂变与聚变模型设计统一评测框架,提升机器学习方法的可比性与可靠性。

CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Models

论文配图:CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Models
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 构建面向核工程的通用任务框架,整合多源核系统数据集。
  • 12项指标评估模型性能,新增稀疏监测下的系统监控新范式。
  • 推动核能领域机器学习从随意对比转向标准化测试,适合安全关键研究者。

清洁能源需求持续增长,新型核能技术可作为可再生能源的补充。然而,由于物理现象复杂且相互耦合,核系统的设计与运行极为困难。高保真模拟虽能揭示反应堆内的非线性多物理场相互作用,但计算成本高昂,难以用于实时场景。传统建模方法依赖简化假设,导致与实测数据存在偏差。相比之下,机器学习有望构建高效代理模型以快速预测系统行为。但可用于该任务的数据驱动方法种类繁多、差异显著。在核工程这类安全关键领域,对不同机器学习方法进行公平比较,并明确其优劣至关重要。为此,我们提出一种面向核工程的通用任务框架(CTF),借鉴动力系统与地震学领域的先例。该框架涵盖多个核及邻近系统的精选数据集,采用12项成熟指标评估方法性能,同时引入仅基于稀疏测量的系统监控新范式。通过基准测试标准机器学习基线模型,揭示了当前方法的局限性。我们的愿景是用隐藏测试集上的标准化评估取代零散对比,全面提升核能领域科学机器学习的严谨性与可复现性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The demand for clean energy is ever increasing, with new nuclear technologies presenting a complementary solution to renewable energies. However, designing and operating these systems is exceptionally difficult, given the complexity of the physical phenomena that interact to form the system dynamics. While high-fidelity simulations help to understand the non-linear, multi-physics interactions within a reactor, they are computationally expensive and rarely suitable for real-time applications. Furthermore, model-based approaches are inherently sensitive to simplifying assumptions required to derive their governing equations and parameters, leading to inevitable discrepancies with real-world measurements. In contrast, Machine Learning (ML) methods have the potential to generate reliable surrogate models which may be able to quickly predict the system's behaviour. However, the number of data-driven methods that can potentially be used for this task is large and diverse. In a safety-critical setting such as nuclear engineering, a fair comparison of different ML methods, and a clear understanding of their advantages and limitations, is of paramount importance. To address this, we introduce a Common Task Framework (CTF) for ML in nuclear engineering, building upon previous efforts in dynamical systems and seismology. This CTF considers a curated set of datasets from different nuclear and nuclear-adjacent systems. The CTF evaluates the performance of a method on 12 established metrics, alongside a new paradigm focused on system monitoring from sparse measurements only. We illustrate the framework by benchmarking standard ML baselines against these datasets, revealing current method limitations. Our vision is to replace ad hoc comparisons with standardized evaluations on hidden test sets, raising the bar for rigour and reproducibility in scientific ML for the nuclear industry.

机器学习核能模型评估多物理场

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