arXiv:2605.18333quant-phcs.LG2026-05

量子脉冲神经网络提升天气预报精度与速度

QLIF-CAST: Quantum Leaky-Integrate-and-Fire for Time-Series Weather Forecasting

论文配图:QLIF-CAST: Quantum Leaky-Integrate-and-Fire for Time-Series Weather Forecasting
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用量子漏积分-放电模型构建新型时序预测框架
  • 在气象数据上误差比经典模型低15.4%,训练快94%
  • 适合追求高效高精度时序预测的研究者

准确高效的时序预测仍是经典与量子神经架构的挑战,尤其在多变量环境场景中。本文将量子漏积分-放电(QLIF)脉冲神经网络拓展至连续值预测任务,应用于短期多变量天气预报。QLIF-CAST将神经元激发状态编码为单量子比特叠加态,由Rx旋转门驱动并受T1弛豫衰减影响,嵌入混合量子-经典循环架构。我们开展两项评估:首先,在多变量气象数据集上与参数匹配的经典LIF基线对比,QLIF-CAST实现15.4%更低的均方误差(MSE)和4.4%更低的平均绝对误差(MAE),表明量子神经动力学可降低预测误差;其次,在空气质量与风速基准上与先进量子LSTM(QLSTM)及量子神经网络(QNN)模型对比,QLIF-CAST训练时间最多减少94%,在速度-误差权衡空间中占据独特位置。在IBM Marrakesh(156量子比特量子处理单元)上的硬件验证确认电路执行可靠,平均偏差仅1.2%。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate and efficient time-series forecasting remains a challenging problem for both classical and quantum neural architectures, particularly in multivariate environmental settings. This work adapts the Quantum Leaky Integrate-and-Fire (QLIF) spiking neural network for time-series regression tasks, specifically short-term multivariate weather forecasting. We extend QLIF beyond classification and demonstrate its applicability to continuous-valued prediction problems. The QLIF-CAST model encodes neuron excitation states as single-qubit quantum superpositions, driven by R_x rotation gates and T1 relaxation decay, and is embedded within a hybrid quantum-classical recurrent architecture. We conduct two distinct evaluations. First, a controlled comparison against a parameter-matched classical LIF baseline on a multivariate weather dataset shows that QLIF-CAST achieves 15.4% lower MSE and 4.4% lower MAE, demonstrating that quantum neuronal dynamics reduce prediction error over classical equivalents. Second, a cross-domain comparative analysis with state-of-the-art quantum LSTM (QLSTM) and quantum neural network (QNN) models on air quality and wind speed benchmarks reveals that QLIF-CAST converges in up to 94% less training time, occupying a distinct position in the speed-error trade-off space. Hardware verification on IBM Marrakesh (156-qubit QPU) confirms reliable circuit execution with only 1.2% average deviation from simulation.

量子计算天气预报脉冲网络时序预测

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