LLM交易代理在金融市场的应用现状与评估瓶颈
Agentic Trading: When LLM Agents Meet Financial Markets

- 将LLM交易代理视为决策流水线,构建可审计的证据地图
- 仅2/19研究具备时间一致的实验协议,无一达到最高可复现等级
- 强调可复现性、执行语义和报告规范,推动领域标准化
越来越多的研究探索将大型语言模型(LLMs)嵌入交易系统,使其能感知市场信息、检索上下文、推理决策、生成可交易动作并根据市场反馈调整。本文将基于LLM的交易代理重新定义为专家系统式决策流水线,并基于截至2026年3月9日的协议化筛选,呈现77项研究的审计导向证据图谱。其中19项满足最低标准(行动输出+闭环评估),其余58项作为背景与设计参考。核心发现为协议不可比:在主样本中,仅2/19研究报告可提取的时间一致分割协议,1/19包含明确交易成本模型,1/19记录了投资组合或幸存者偏差处理,11/19报告执行时序或语义,15/19被编码为R0,无一达到R3可复现级别。因此,采用架构-能力-适应作为分析框架而非验证分类,突出证据账本、可复现性审计与报告清单为主要贡献。结果显示,架构实验快速扩展,但可比较的评估协议、执行语义与可复现成果仍是该领域的紧迫瓶颈。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
A growing body of work explores how Large Language Models (LLMs) can be embedded in trading systems as agents that perceive market information, retrieve context, reason about decisions, emit tradable actions, and adapt under market feedback. This paper reframes LLM-based trading agents as expert-system decision pipelines and presents an audit-oriented evidence map of 77 included studies in a protocol-coded snapshot screened through 2026-03-09. A primary empirical subset (n=19) satisfies the minimum boundary of Action Output plus Closed-Loop Evaluation; the remaining 58 included studies are retained as background and design context. The central empirical finding is protocol incomparability: within the primary subset, only 2/19 studies report extractable time-consistent split protocols, 1/19 reports an explicit transaction-cost model, 1/19 documents universe or survivorship handling, 11/19 report execution timing or semantics, 15/19 are coded as R0, and no study reaches R3 reproducibility. We therefore use Architecture-Capability-Adaptation as a working analytical lens rather than a validated taxonomy, and we foreground the evidence ledger, reproducibility audit, and reporting checklist as the main contributions. The resulting survey shows that architectural experimentation is expanding rapidly, while comparable evaluation protocols, execution semantics, and reproducible artifacts remain the field's immediate bottlenecks.
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