提出可识别潜变量因果结构的评分法,解决传统方法的依赖性与误差问题。
Score-Based Causal Discovery of Latent Variable Causal Models

- 设计满足评分等价与一致性的新评分函数,支持潜变量因果建模。
- 理论证明不同结构假设下可观测变量的自由度,支撑精确与连续评分方法。
- 实验验证方法有效,适合需要可靠因果推断的科研领域使用。
识别潜变量及其涉及的因果结构在多个科学领域至关重要。尽管现有许多方法属于基于约束的方法(如条件独立性或秩不足检验),但可能面临测试顺序依赖、误差传播及显著性水平选择等实证挑战。这些问题可通过合理设计的评分方法缓解,例如无潜变量情形下的贪心等价搜索(GES)。然而,含潜变量的评分方法构建极具挑战。本文提出具备可识别性保证的评分方法,能识别包含因果相关潜变量的因果结构。具体而言,我们证明了恰当定义的评分函数可在潜变量因果模型结构学习中实现评分等价与一致性。进一步,我们刻画了文献中多种结构假设下可观测变量的边际自由度,并据此开发出精确与连续评分方法。该框架统一了多种基于约束的方法。实验结果验证了所提方法的有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Identifying latent variables and the causal structure involving them is essential across various scientific fields. While many existing works fall under the category of constraint-based methods (with e.g. conditional independence or rank deficiency tests), they may face empirical challenges such as testing-order dependency, error propagation, and choosing an appropriate significance level. These issues can potentially be mitigated by properly designed score-based methods, such as Greedy Equivalence Search (GES) (Chickering, 2002) in the specific setting without latent variables. Yet, formulating score-based methods with latent variables is highly challenging. In this work, we develop score-based methods that are capable of identifying causal structures containing causally-related latent variables with identifiability guarantees. Specifically, we show that a properly formulated scoring function can achieve score equivalence and consistency for structure learning of latent variable causal models. We further provide a characterization of the degrees of freedom for the marginal over the observed variables under multiple structural assumptions considered in the literature, and accordingly develop both exact and continuous score-based methods. This offers a unified view of several existing constraint-based methods with different structural assumptions. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
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