arXiv:2605.21295cs.LGcs.AI2026-05被引 1

用语义强化学习让大模型更懂时间序列行为,提升心理健康预测泛化能力。

TimeSRL: Generalizable Time-Series Behavioral Modeling via Semantic RL-Tuned LLMs -- A Case Study in Mental Health

论文配图:TimeSRL: Generalizable Time-Series Behavioral Modeling via Semantic RL-Tuned LLMs -- A Case Study in Mental Health
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 先将原始数据转为自然语言描述,再基于语义推理预测行为结果。
  • 在跨数据集测试中,焦虑和抑郁预测误差比基线低9.5%至44.1%。
  • 无需微调即可跨不同传感系统迁移,适合医疗健康等高泛化需求场景。

纵向被动感知可实现持续健康预测,但模型常因跨数据集分布偏移而失效。传统机器学习易过拟合特定队列特征,而大语言模型难以可靠处理长且异构的时间序列。我们提出TimeSRL,一种两阶段LLM框架,通过显式语义瓶颈进行预测:首先将原始信号抽象为高层次自然语言,再仅基于这些语义抽象预测行为结果。该设计迫使模型聚焦于可泛化的语义概念而非原始数值。我们采用组相对策略优化(GRPO)与可验证奖励强化学习(RLVR),端到端优化此过程,无需中间标注即可学习对齐结果的抽象。在心理健康预测任务中,TimeSRL在留一数据集外(LOSO)严格测试下达到当前最优性能,焦虑预测平均绝对误差(MAE)相比强非LLM模型和LLM基线降低3.1–10.1%与9.5–44.1%,抑郁预测降低3.2–9.6%与27.4–57.6%(所有p<0.05)。其在跨基准迁移中表现显著优于以往方法,无需目标域微调即可接近自身域内表现。结果表明语义抽象具有可复用性,为基于强化学习调优的通用行为建模指明新方向。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Longitudinal passive sensing enables continuous health prediction, yet models often fail under cross-dataset distribution shifts. Traditional ML overfits cohort-specific artifacts, while Large Language Models (LLMs) struggle to reason reliably over long, heterogeneous time-series. We introduce TimeSRL, a two-stage LLM framework that routes predictions through an explicit semantic bottleneck. The model first abstracts raw signals into high-level natural language, then predicts behavioral outcomes from these abstractions alone. This forces the model to reason over semantic concepts that we argue generalize better than raw numbers. We optimize this process end-to-end using Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) with Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), learning outcome-aligned abstractions without gold intermediate annotations. Instantiated on mental-health prediction, TimeSRL achieves state-of-the-art performance on a benchmark designed to stress-test cross-cohort generalization under a rigorous leave-one-dataset-out (LOSO) protocol, reducing mean absolute error (MAE) over strong non-LLM ML and LLM baselines by 3.1--10.1% and 9.5--44.1% for anxiety, and 3.2--9.6% and 27.4--57.6% for depression (all $p$s<0.05). TimeSRL significantly outperforms prior methods in cross-benchmark transfer across different sensing pipelines, rivaling its own within-domain performance without target-domain fine-tuning. These results demonstrate that semantic abstractions are reusable and point to a new direction for generalizable behavior modeling via RL-tuned LLMs.

时间序列语义建模心理健康强化学习

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