arXiv:2605.23991physics.ao-phastro-ph.EP2026-05

利用气象卫星数据,10分钟一次监测全球二氧化碳变化。

Quantification of atmospheric carbon dioxide from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES East)

  • 用神经网络融合卫星多光谱数据与气象信息估算二氧化碳浓度
  • 在城市和农田区域成功捕捉到二氧化碳的增强与下降趋势
  • 适合关注实时碳排放动态的环境监测与气候研究者

当前对温室气体的监测迫切需要更高时空分辨率、精度与准确度,以支持从局部到全球尺度的二氧化碳通量独立验证。然而,现有空间传感器观测稀疏。本研究利用自2017年运行的静止气象卫星GOES-East的先进基线成像仪(ABI),其每10分钟覆盖西半球大部分区域,具备约2平方公里的空间分辨率和16个光谱波段。我们开发了DeepXCO₂——一种单像素、物理引导的神经网络模型,用于估算干空气柱中二氧化碳摩尔分数(XCO₂)。该模型输入包括GOES-East的16个波段时序数据、ECMWF ERA5低对流层气象数据、MODIS地表反射率、太阳与卫星视角几何信息及日期。模型基于与OCO-2/OCO-3的共位观测数据训练。相比保留年份的OCO-2/OCO-3数据及TCCON网络观测,DeepXCO₂能有效捕捉真实的XCO₂变化。案例研究显示其可识别城市区域的二氧化碳增强及农业区的碳汇下降。尽管精度不及专用仪器,但其连续地理覆盖、10分钟重访频率和多年记录,为观测以往难以捕捉的大气二氧化碳变异性提供了新可能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

There is a growing urgency to track greenhouse gasses with the resolution, precision and accuracy needed to support independent verification of $CO_2$ fluxes at local to global scales. The current generation of space-based sensors, however, only provides sparse observations in space and time. This challenge has fueled interest in the potential use of data from existing missions originally developed for other applications to infer global greenhouse gas variability. The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) onboard the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-East), operational since 2017, provides full coverage of much of the western hemisphere at 10-minute intervals from geostationary orbit across 16 spectral channels at an approximately 2 km$^2$ spatial resolution. Here, we leverage this high spatial coverage and temporal revisit to develop Deep$XCO_2$, a single-pixel, physics-guided neural network to estimate dry-air column $CO_2$ mole fraction ($XCO_2$). Deep$XCO_2$ employs a time series of GOES-East's 16 spectral bands, ECMWF ERA5 lower tropospheric meteorology, MODIS surface reflectance, solar and satellite viewing geometry, and day of year. The network was trained on collocated GOES-East and OCO-2/OCO-3 observations. Deep$XCO_2$ is able to capture realistic $XCO_2$ variability when compared against a held-out year of OCO-2 and OCO-3 observations, and against observations from the TCCON network. We also present case studies illustrating the use of Deep$XCO_2$ to observe $XCO_2$ enhancements over urban areas and drawdown over agricultural regions. Overall, while the precision of GOES-East derived $XCO_2$ can never rival that of dedicated instruments, the unprecedented combination of contiguous geographic coverage, 10-minute temporal frequency, and multi-year record offers the potential to observe aspects of atmospheric $CO_2$ variability currently unseen from space.

碳监测遥感神经网络大气科学

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