arXiv:2605.27044cs.AI2026-05KDD

用多层级Transformer预测电池寿命,提升早期寿命预测精度

BatteryMFormer: Multi-level Learning for Battery Degradation Trajectory Forecasting

论文配图:BatteryMFormer: Multi-level Learning for Battery Degradation Trajectory Forecasting
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 分层建模老化条件与电池间共性模式,结合电压电流局部变化特征
  • 在四个电池数据集上显著优于现有方法,长周期预测误差降低12%-18%
  • 适合电池管理、制造优化和全生命周期评估场景

早期电池退化轨迹预测(BDTF)旨在从早期运行数据中预测电池全生命周期的健康状态轨迹,对电池优化、制造和部署至关重要。电池退化数据具有两个关键特性:一是存在多层级结构,包括同一老化条件下共享的规律性和跨电池间共享的轨迹模式;二是电压-电流特性变化常集中于特定荷电状态(SOC)区间。现有方法往往未能显式建模这些特性。为此,我们提出BatteryMFormer,一种用于早期BDTF的多层级Transformer。该模型包含:(1) 老化条件感知解码器,通过老化条件引导查询与注意力注入先验知识;(2) 元退化模式记忆模块,学习并检索轨迹原型以指导长周期预测;(3) 双视角编码器,联合捕捉时间动态与SOC局部变化。在四个电池数据集上的大量实验表明,BatteryMFormer持续优于当前最优基线,标志着可靠早期BDTF的重要进展。代码已开源:https://github.com/Ruifeng-Tan/BatteryMFormer。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Early battery degradation trajectory forecasting (BDTF), which predicts the full-life state-of-health trajectory from early operational data, is critical for battery optimization, manufacturing, and deployment. Battery degradation data exhibit two key characteristics. First, degradation data present a multi-level structure, including regularities shared within aging conditions and trajectory patterns shared across batteries. Second, degradation-related variations in voltage-current profiles are often localized to specific state of charge (SOC) intervals. Existing approaches often fail to explicitly model these characteristics. To bridge this gap, we propose BatteryMFormer, a multi-level Transformer for early BDTF. BatteryMFormer integrates (1) an aging-condition-aware decoder that injects aging-condition priors via aging-condition-informed queries and aging-condition-aware attention, (2) a meta degradation pattern memory that learns and retrieves trajectory prototypes to guide long-horizon forecasting, and (3) a dual-view encoder that jointly captures temporal dynamics and SOC-localized variations from voltage and current time series. Extensive experiments on four battery domains show that BatteryMFormer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, marking a significant step toward reliable BDTF. Our code is available at https://github.com/Ruifeng-Tan/BatteryMFormer.

电池寿命预测Transformer多层级建模时序预测

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