arXiv:2605.29367cs.CLcs.CY2026-05

AI裁员讨论中,资本方言论传播力是劳方的4倍以上。

Attention Asymmetry in AI Layoff Discourse on X: A Computational Analysis of Capital vs Labour Amplification

  • 通过账号采集分析,发现资本方言论平均传播力高出劳方3.12倍
  • 即使考虑粉丝数差异,资本方仍有2.69倍传播优势
  • 该现象可能与X平台的账号放大机制有关,不适用于其他平台

当工人因AI重组失业时,X平台(原推特)上同时出现两种截然不同的对话:科技高管和AI研究者谈论效率、转型与机遇;被裁员工和劳工批评者则聚焦失业、不确定性和恐惧。本文探究哪种声音传播更广。基于两组采集方法和763条来自20个知名账号的推文,研究发现:关键词采集(n=392)结果不显著(p=0.891),噪声过大;账户采集(n=96)显示资本话语平均传播力高出劳方3.12倍(p=0.000003,Cohen's d=0.555);综合方法(n=763)确认平均放大比达4.18倍,中位数高达10.77倍(p<0.000001)。关键的是,在校正粉丝数后,资本方仍保持2.69倍优势(p=0.000009,Cohen's d=0.491),说明并非仅因受众规模所致。该发现对所有放大度量权重均稳健。文中提出‘放大比率’与‘放大归一化指数’作为衡量平台话语不平等的指标。跨平台复制在Reddit(n=647帖)未复现此结果,提示该不对称性或源于X平台特有的账号式放大架构。研究对跨平台话语分析方法论具有启示。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

When workers lose jobs to AI-driven restructuring, two very different conversations happen on X (formerly Twitter) at the same time. Tech executives and AI researchers talk about productivity, transformation, and opportunity. Laid-off workers and labour critics talk about job loss, uncertainty, and fear. This paper asks a simple question: which conversation gets more reach? We report three studies using two collection methods and 763 tweets from 20 named public accounts. Study 1 used keyword-based collection (n=392) and found no significant difference between corpora (p=0.891), revealing that keyword search is too noisy for this task. Study 2 used account-based collection (n=96) and found a 3.12x mean amplification advantage for capital discourse over labour discourse (p=0.000003, Cohen's d=0.555). Study 3 combined both methods (n=763) and confirmed the finding at 4.18x mean and 10.77x median amplification ratio (p<0.000001). Critically, after normalising for follower count, the asymmetry persists at 2.69x (p=0.000009, Cohen's d=0.491), demonstrating that the effect is not simply a consequence of capital accounts having larger audiences. The finding is robust across all tested amplification metric weightings. We introduce the Amplification Ratio and Amplification Normalisation Index as simple metrics for measuring platform-level discourse inequality. A cross-platform replication on Reddit (n=647 posts) did not replicate the finding, suggesting the asymmetry may be specific to X's account-based amplification architecture. We discuss the methodological implications for cross-platform discourse analysis.

社交媒体算法公平话语分析平台机制

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