从有限浮标数据学习海藻输运的高效修正方法
Learning effective Sargassum transport dynamics from limited drifter observations
- 用物理诊断与有限记忆模型捕捉漂浮物输运特征
- 在波多黎各和墨西哥湾流区域提升轨迹预测精度
- 适合海洋动力学、环境监测与气候建模研究者
漂浮物质输运受未解析过程影响,常缺失于现有环流产品中。本文构建一种数据驱动的输运学习框架,利用有限拉格朗日观测,结合物理动机的海-气诊断与有限记忆表示(部分源于惯性粒子记忆效应),学习有效输运修正。通过留一轨迹验证下的预测与稀疏符号发现方法分析诊断表示。应用于波多黎各地区及墨西哥湾流的海藻追踪浮标,结果显示诊断信息包含基线环流产品之外的输运相关特征。多层感知机(MLP)集成提供灵活的轨迹修正能力;稀疏非线性动力学识别(SINDy)测试能否从诊断中提取瞬时或延迟的稀疏符号输运结构。结果因流态而异:(i) 在波多黎各,延迟稀疏符号修正带来适度但系统性的改进;(ii) 在墨西哥湾流中,动态有用的稀疏符号修正仍以瞬时为主,尽管延迟预测信息仍存在。结果支持粗粒度漂浮物输运中的有限记忆效应,也揭示获得稳定延迟稀疏闭包的困难。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Floating-material transport is influenced by unresolved processes that are often absent from available circulation products. We develop a data-driven transport-learning framework for learning effective transport corrections from limited Lagrangian observations using physically motivated ocean--atmosphere diagnostics and finite-memory representations motivated in part by inertial-particle memory effects. The diagnostic representation is analyzed through predictive and sparse symbolic-discovery approaches under leave-one-trajectory-out validation. Applications to Sargassum-following drifters in the Puerto Rico region and the Gulf Stream show that the diagnostics contain transport-relevant information beyond the baseline circulation products. Multilayer perceptron (MLP) ensembles provide flexible predictive trajectory corrections, while Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) tests whether instantaneous or delayed sparse symbolic transport structure can be extracted from the diagnostics. The results differ across flow regimes: (i) in Puerto Rico, delayed sparse symbolic corrections provide modest but systematic improvement; (ii) in the Gulf Stream application, dynamically useful sparse symbolic corrections remain primarily instantaneous even though delayed predictive information persists. These results support finite-memory transport effects in coarse-grained floating-material transport while also illustrating the difficulty of obtaining stable delayed sparse symbolic closures.
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