arXiv:2605.30807cs.LG2026-05中稿 · ICML

提出新评估指标,量化条件生成模型在不确定下的最坏表现。

Conformal Reliability: A New Evaluation Metric for Conditional Generation

论文配图:Conformal Reliability: A New Evaluation Metric for Conditional Generation
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 基于置信预测构建预测集,衡量高置信度下的最差性能。
  • 在图像到文本、文本到图像任务中,预测集信息量优于现有方法。
  • 适合关注生成模型可靠性与风险控制的研究者使用。

条件生成模型在诸多应用中取得显著进展,但缺乏能反映其固有不确定性的可靠性评估指标。现有指标多针对单一输出,难以捕捉生成过程中的变异性或潜在风险。本文提出基于置信预测的可靠性评分(reliability score),用于衡量预设置信水平下预测集中的最差表现。由于输出空间高维且度量函数与预测集非凸,计算该评分极具挑战。为此,我们提出Conformal ReLiability(CReL)框架,可(i)构造具有期望覆盖率的预测集;(ii)在构建的预测集中精确优化可靠性评分。理论证明了覆盖率有效性,并通过合成数据及图像到文本、文本到图像任务的实验证明,本方法生成的预测集更具信息量,且新指标具备良好可解释性与计算有效性。源代码见 https://ggc29.github.io/CReL/。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Conditional generative models have recently achieved remarkable success in various applications. However, a suitable metric for evaluating the reliability of these models, which takes into account their inherent uncertainty, is still lacking. Existing metrics, which typically assess a single output, may fail to capture the variability or potential risks in generation. In this paper, we propose a novel evaluation metric called reliability score based on conformal prediction, which measures the worst-case performance within the prediction set at a pre-specified confidence level. However, computing this score is challenging due to the high-dimensional nature of the output space and the nonconvexity of both the metric function and the prediction set. To efficiently compute this score, we introduce Conformal ReLiability (CReL), a framework that can (i) construct the prediction set with desired coverage; and (ii) accurately optimize the reliability score within the constructed prediction set. We provide theoretical results on coverage and demonstrate empirically that our method produces more informative prediction sets than existing approaches. Experiments on synthetic data and the image-to-text and text-to-image tasks further demonstrate the interpretability of our new metric, and the validity and effectiveness of our computational framework. Source code can be found at https://ggc29.github.io/CReL/.

生成模型可靠性评估置信预测条件生成

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