arXiv:2606.00235physics.soc-phcs.AI2026-06中稿 · presentation at AG…

用超材料原理设计制度,应对智能加速下的治理瘫痪问题

Civilizational Metamaterials: Engineering Coordination Under Capability Gradients and Structural Turbulence

论文配图:Civilizational Metamaterials: Engineering Coordination Under Capability Gradients and Structural Turbulence
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 借鉴超材料结构设计思想,建立制度协调性量化模型
  • 揭示验证效率不足时将陷入理性停摆的临界点
  • 提出可实证的三类可信度分类,适合政策与AI治理研究者

我们主张治理应从规范性学科转向工程化学科,并受超材料物理启发,构建可量化、可检验的理论框架。人工智能通过提升决策速度影响文明,而人类验证能力受限。当验证成本超过行动预期收益时,理性主体将默认不作为——一种稳定但灾难性的纳什均衡,称为‘冻结均衡’。类比超材料中宏观性质由微观结构决定,我们建立制度协调的本构关系:$R_{\mathrm{eff}} = β\cdot (1-ρ) \cdot (1-τ) \cdot (1-γρτ)$,其中 $β$ 为决策分支因子,$ρ$ 为来源可信度,$τ$ 为验证率,$γ∈[0,1]$ 表示来源与验证失败间的相关检测协同效应。模型预测存在自修复($R_{\mathrm{eff}} < 1$)与自我瓦解($R_{\mathrm{eff}} > 1$)的相变。提出三类来源可信度分类:密码学、机构性、上下文绑定,并设计一项为期12周的阶梯楔形集群随机试验,用于政府资助评审流程验证。该框架连接了AI对齐理论与制度设计。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We argue that governance must transition from a normative discipline to an engineering discipline, and we develop a formal framework, inspired by the physics of metamaterials, to make this transition quantitative and testable. Artificial General Intelligence affects civilization primarily by increasing decision velocity while human verification capacity remains bounded. When the cost of validating AI-generated outputs exceeds the expected utility of acting on them, rational agents default to inaction: a stable but catastrophic Nash equilibrium we term the Freezing Equilibrium. Drawing on metamaterials, where emergent macro-properties arise from designed microstructure, we develop a phenomenological constitutive law for institutional coordination: $R_{\mathrm{eff}} = β\cdot (1-ρ) \cdot (1-τ) \cdot (1-γρτ)$, where $β$ is the decision branching factor, $ρ$ is provenance fidelity, $τ$ is the verification rate, and $γ\in [0,1]$ captures correlated-detection synergy between provenance and verification failures. The model predicts a sharp phase transition between self-healing ($R_{\mathrm{eff}} < 1$) and self-destabilizing ($R_{\mathrm{eff}} > 1$) regimes. We introduce a three-class provenance taxonomy: cryptographic, institutional, and context binding, and derive four falsifiable hypotheses with a proposed 12-week stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial in government grant review panels. The framework bridges AI alignment theory and institutional design.

制度设计AI治理超材料可信度

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