arXiv:2606.02852cs.LG2026-06

构建10万栋模拟住宅数据集,支持跨域负荷与温度预测评测

RESCAST-100K: A Comprehensive Dataset for Cross-Domain Residential Load and Indoor Temperature Forecasting

论文配图:RESCAST-100K: A Comprehensive Dataset for Cross-Domain Residential Load and Indoor Temperature Forecasting
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 基于能源模拟生成10万栋美国住宅数据,涵盖地理、气候等多维度变量
  • 在跨域场景下,MLP混合模型与交叉注意力模型表现优于传统方法
  • 支持仿真到真实数据的评估,适合建筑能耗与智能电网研究者使用

精准预测居民用电负荷与室内温度对家庭能效管理、电网需求响应及社区节能至关重要。面对住宅数据异质性和稀缺性,领域自适应与迁移学习展现出潜力,但受限于现有基准数据集覆盖范围窄、缺乏结构化跨域评估支持。本文提出RESCAST-100K,一个大规模住宅预测基准,可配置源域与目标域,沿地理、气候区、墙体构造和供暖设备等可解释轴进行系统性评估。该数据集包含约10万栋基于ResStock的EnergyPlus模拟美国住宅,每栋提供15分钟粒度的三类时序数据:总负荷、暖通空调负荷与室内温度,配套气象数据、空调设定值及40余项静态建筑特征。同时整合五个真实住宅数据集,统一格式以支持仿真到真实的评估。我们对循环、注意力及MLP混合架构在零样本跨域、缺失输入与多任务下的表现进行了基准测试。结果表明,交叉注意力与MLP混合模型在域偏移下持续优于循环与经典Transformer基线。RESCAST-100K旨在推动机器学习与建筑分析领域在家庭、社区及电网层级的跨域预测研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate short-term forecasting of residential energy load and indoor temperature is essential for home energy management systems, grid-level demand response, and community energy efficiency efforts. Domain adaptation and transfer learning have shown promise for improving forecasting accuracy under data heterogeneity and scarcity commonly seen in residential settings. However, progress is limited by the lack of comprehensive residential datasets: existing benchmarks are narrow in target coverage and rarely support structured cross-domain evaluation. We introduce RESCAST-100K, a large-scale residential forecasting benchmark for studying cross-domain generalization. It provides a configuration-driven interface that instantiates source and target domains along interpretable axes, including geography, climate zone, wall construction, and heating equipment, enabling systematic evaluation of transfer learning, domain adaptation, and zero-shot generalization under controlled domain shifts. The benchmark covers approximately 100,000 EnergyPlus-simulated U.S. homes derived from ResStock, with 15-minute time series for three coupled targets per home: total load, HVAC load, and indoor temperature. These are paired with weather channels, HVAC setpoints, and over 40 static building covariates. RESCAST-100K also integrates five real-world residential datasets under a unified schema, supporting sim-to-real evaluation on the same tasks. We benchmark recurrent, attention-based, and MLP-mixer architectures for zero-shot performance across domains, missing-input conditions, and forecasting tasks. Cross-attention and MLP-mixer models consistently outperform recurrent and classical transformer baselines under domain shift. RESCAST-100K is intended to aid the machine learning and building analytics communities advance cross-domain residential forecasting at home, community, and grid scale.

负荷预测建筑模拟跨域学习能源效率

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