arXiv:2606.03296cs.RO2026-06

用扩散模型生成多种未来路径,让自动驾驶更安全可靠

Bridging Predictive Uncertainty and Safe Action: Sample-Conditioned Differentiable Planning for Autonomous Driving

论文配图:Bridging Predictive Uncertainty and Safe Action: Sample-Conditioned Differentiable Planning for Autonomous Driving
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用扩散模型生成多样化未来轨迹,输入可微规划器
  • 通过尾部风险约束优化,提升对罕见危险场景的应对能力
  • 适合关注自动驾驶安全性与可解释性的研究者

复杂、动态且交互性强的驾驶环境给自动驾驶带来巨大挑战,主要源于周围交通的普遍不确定性。当前系统的一大瓶颈在于高度表达的不确定性建模与可解释、安全的运动规划之间存在脱节。本文提出一种新型样本条件化的可微规划框架,通过将扩散生成的未来轨迹直接融入优化过程,弥合这一鸿沟。不同于将预测压缩为单一确定性未来或依赖黑箱端到端架构,本方法利用条件扩散模型生成多样化的合理未来场景,并将其直接输入可微规划器,通过经验条件风险价值(CVaR)尾部风险约束显式缓解预测不确定性。这使规划器能优化出对罕见但高危交互具有鲁棒性的物理可解释轨迹。此外,我们引入有向图表示场景上下文,在预测有效性与计算效率上均有显著提升。在Waymo Open Motion和Argoverse 2数据集上的开环与闭环评估表明,该框架在安全性、效率和乘坐舒适性方面均显著优于现有最先进基线。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Complex, dynamic, and interactive driving environments pose significant challenges for autonomous driving, primarily due to the pervasive uncertainty of surrounding traffic. A fundamental bottleneck in current systems is the disconnect between highly expressive uncertainty modeling and interpretable, safe motion planning. In this paper, we propose a novel sample-conditioned differentiable planning framework that bridges this gap by explicitly incorporating diffusion-generated future trajectories into the optimization process. Rather than compressing predictions into a single deterministic future or relying on black-box end-to-end architectures, our approach leverages a conditional diffusion model to generate a diverse set of plausible future scenarios. Crucially, these samples are directly fed into a differentiable planner, which explicitly mitigates predictive uncertainty via an empirical Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) tail-risk constraint. This allows the planner to optimize a physically interpretable trajectory that is robust to rare yet safety-critical interactions. Furthermore, we introduce a directed graph representation for scene context that yields substantial improvements in both predictive effectiveness and computational efficiency. Validated through extensive open-loop and closed-loop evaluations on the Waymo Open Motion and Argoverse 2 datasets, our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in safety, efficiency, and ride comfort.

自动驾驶扩散模型不确定性建模可微规划

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