用世界模型模拟生物系统未来,让治疗决策可提前验证。
Towards World Models in Biomedical Research

- 学习分子到临床状态的潜在表示与干预动态
- 可预演细胞、器官和患者在治疗下的未来轨迹
- 适合药物研发与个性化医疗中的仿真决策
生物医学的核心目标是理解、预测并最终控制生物系统对扰动、疾病进展和治疗干预的动态响应。尽管基础模型和大语言模型加速了生物医学数据解读,但当前多数系统仍局限于静态模式识别,而非前瞻性模拟生物未来。本文提出生物医学世界模型作为人工智能驱动发现的新范式。该模型学习分子、细胞、组织和临床状态的潜在表征,以及受干预条件调控的动力学,使在采取行动前即可模拟未来轨迹。我们探讨其在虚拟细胞、类器官、虚拟患者及手术模拟等场景中作为数据引擎、环境模拟器和科学规划基础的应用潜力。同时提出所需的数据基础设施、评估基准、安全约束与治理框架。生物医学世界模型或可成为闭环、实验可执行的仿真引导型发现的基础。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
A central goal of biomedicine is to understand, predict and ultimately control the dynamic mechanisms by which biological systems respond to perturbations, disease progression and therapeutic intervention. Although foundation models and large language models have accelerated biomedical data interpretation, most current systems remain focused on static pattern recognition rather than prospective simulation of biological futures. Here we propose biomedical world models as a paradigm for AI-driven discovery. These models learn latent representations of molecular, cellular, tissue and clinical states, together with intervention-conditioned dynamics that allow future trajectories to be simulated before actions are taken. We discuss how biomedical world models could function as data engines, environment simulators and scientific planning substrates across applications including virtual cells, organoids, virtual patients and surgical simulation. We outline the data infrastructure, evaluation benchmarks, safety constraints and governance frameworks required. Biomedical world models may provide a foundation for simulation-guided, closed-loop and experimentally actionable biomedical discovery.
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