arXiv:2606.06524eess.IVcs.CV2026-06中稿 · publication in the…

用物理规律约束深度学习,提升洪水预测精度与可靠性

Advanced Flood Prediction with Physics-Guided Deep Learning: Combining UNet, FNO, and SAR/Optical Imagery

论文配图:Advanced Flood Prediction with Physics-Guided Deep Learning: Combining UNet, FNO, and SAR/Optical Imagery
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 融合UNet与FNO,结合遥感数据与浅水方程约束
  • 洪水范围预测的IoU达0.82,水深误差仅0.21米
  • 适合需要物理一致性与可扩展性的灾害监测场景

准确且可扩展的洪水制图仍面临地面观测有限、地形异质性及数据驱动模型难以保持水动力一致性等挑战。本文提出一种物理引导的深度学习框架,整合多源遥感数据(哨兵-1 SAR、哨兵-2光学影像、基于DEM的地形特征)与深度平均浅水方程(SWE)的约束。混合架构采用UNet捕捉细粒度空间细节,FNO建模流域尺度水力交互,物理信息残差损失确保质量与动量守恒。在多样洪水平原场景下评估,该模型对洪水范围预测的交并比(IoU)达0.82,F1得分为0.90,优于仅使用UNet或仅使用FNO的基线。以水动力模拟为参考,水深均方根误差(RMSE)为0.21米,流速误差为0.15米/秒。物理一致性良好,残差与质量不平衡均低于2.1%。消融实验表明,移除物理正则化会显著降低性能,凸显物理约束对稳定性和泛化能力的关键作用。结果表明,将水动力原理嵌入深度学习可生成更精确、可靠且物理一致的洪水预测,具备实际监测与大规模部署潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate and scalable flood mapping remains challenging due to limited ground observations, heterogeneous terrain conditions, and the difficulty of enforcing hydrodynamic consistency within data-driven models. This work introduces a physics-guided deep learning framework that integrates multi-modal remote sensing (Sentinel-1 SAR, Sentinel-2 optical imagery, and DEM-derived terrain features) with constraints from the depth-averaged shallow water equations (SWE). The proposed hybrid architecture combines a UNet to capture fine-scale spatial details with a Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) to model basin-scale hydraulic interactions, while physics-informed residual losses ensure mass and momentum consistency. Evaluated across diverse floodplain settings, the hybrid model achieves an Intersection over Union of 0.82 and an F1 score of 0.90 for flood extent prediction, outperforming UNet-only and FNO-only baselines. Using hydrodynamic simulations as reference data, the model achieves an RMSE of 0.21 m for water depth and 0.15 m/s for flow velocity. Physics consistency is maintained, with low residuals and mass imbalance below 2.1%. Ablation studies confirm that removing physicsbased regularization significantly degrades performance, underscoring the value of physical constraints for stability and generalization. These results demonstrate that embedding hydrodynamic principles into deep learning yields more accurate, reliable, and physically coherent flood predictions, offering strong potential for operational monitoring and large-scale deployment.

洪水预测物理引导深度学习遥感融合

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