arXiv:2606.07113cs.AI2026-06

用概率中介层让大模型推理过程可审计、可质疑。

Beyond Post-hoc Explanation: Toward Glassbox AI via Probabilistic Mediation

  • 用贝叶斯网络作为生成模型的前置透明中介层。
  • 实现推理过程可追溯、不确定性可量化、输出可争议。
  • 适合法律、医疗等需高可信AI的场景。

大语言模型正快速成为公共行政、法律推理和医疗等高风险机构的核心组件,其不透明性不仅不便,更在制度与法律层面不可接受。现有可解释性方法多为事后补救,给出不稳定且不可争辩的解释,与实际推理过程无正式关联。本文认为问题本质在于缺乏结构化推理,而非缺少解释。提出全新的玻璃盒框架(Glassbox Framework),以贝叶斯网络作为生成模型的前置透明中介层,在推理前编码领域知识、因果假设与概率依赖关系,实现可审计的推理轨迹、不确定性量化及可争议输出。通过资格认定场景验证该架构,识别出语义对齐、动态建模、概率基础与人类治理等关键挑战。该工作推动从事后解释转向事前概率中介,为强大且根本可问责的AI系统提供原则性路径。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large language models are rapidly becoming infrastructural components in high-stakes institutional settings, including public administration, legal reasoning, and healthcare, where opacity is not merely inconvenient but institutionally and legally untenable. Existing approaches to explainability are predominantly post-hoc, offering unstable, non-contestable accounts that have no formal relationship to the reasoning process that produced the output. We argue that the problem is not the absence of explanation but the absence of structured reasoning in the first place. This paper makes the case for a fundamentally different architecture, which we call the Glassbox Framework, in which Bayesian networks serve as transparent, ante-hoc mediation layers for generative models. Bayesian networks encode domain knowledge, causal assumptions, and probabilistic dependencies before inference occurs, enabling auditable reasoning traces, uncertainty quantification, and contestable outputs. We characterise the architecture of this framework and ground it in a benefit eligibility scenario, identifying the foundational challenges spanning semantic alignment, dynamic model construction, probabilistic grounding, and human governance that must be solved to realise it at scale. By shifting from post-hoc explanation to ante-hoc probabilistic mediation, this work outlines a principled path toward AI systems that are not only powerful but fundamentally accountable.

可解释AI贝叶斯网络玻璃盒框架可信AI

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