用时空变换器重建美国38年森林扰动,提升空间一致性与精度。
Reconstructing Multi-Decadal Forest Disturbances: A Spatio-Temporal Transformer Approach

- 融合时空轨迹与邻域信息,建模森林扰动演变过程。
- 在38年时间跨度上实现高达98.2%的扰动检测精度(±1年)。
- 适合关注长期生态监测与碳循环研究的科研人员。
准确监测森林扰动对理解碳动态和土地管理至关重要,但传统方法多依赖卫星时序数据的像素级分析,忽视空间上下文。本文提出一种深度学习框架,通过联合建模时间轨迹与空间邻域,实现了对美国本土地区1984至2022年共38年森林扰动的映射。基于视觉变换器架构,该方法有效过滤弱监督信号中的噪声,生成空间连贯的扰动图。我们在多个卫星数据源(Landsat、Sentinel-1、Sentinel-2)和时间窗口(38年及最近6年)下进行详尽评估,验证结果对比新构建的手动标注验证集(n=300)与独立火灾边界数据集(n=706)。结果显示任务复杂性:尽管本时空模型在精度上表现优异(在MTBS数据上±1年检测精度达98.2%,在CONUS验证集上达71.3%),F1分数分别达到75.8%和47.3%,并显著减少空间伪影,但在不同扰动类型间仍存在性能权衡,相较像素级基线有优有劣。该方法为持续性森林监测提供了可靠基础。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate monitoring of forest disturbances is essential for understanding carbon dynamics and land management, yet traditional approaches typically rely on pixel-wise analysis of satellite time-series, ignoring spatial context. We present a deep learning framework that maps 38 years (1984-2022) of forest disturbance across the contiguous United States by modeling temporal trajectories and spatial neighborhoods simultaneously. By leveraging a vision transformer architecture, our approach effectively filters noise from weak supervision signals to produce spatially coherent disturbance maps. We perform exhaustive evaluations across multiple satellites (Landsat, Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2) and temporal windows (38 years and the more recent 6 years), validating performance against a novel, manually annotated validation dataset (n=300) and independent fire perimeter dataset (n=706). The results highlight the complexity of the task: while our spatio-temporal model demonstrates high precision (up to 98.2% for +-1 year detection on MTBS and up to 71.3% on the CONUS validation datasets, with F1-scores up to 75.8% and 47.3%, respectively) and effectively reduces spatial artifacts, it exhibits performance trade-offs across different disturbance regimes compared to pixel-wise baselines. Our method offers a promising foundation for consistent forest monitoring.
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