arXiv:2606.08113cs.LGmath.FA2026-06

提出新型概率分布传输空间,可判断转移是否符合先验证据约束。

Conditional Random Ordered Transport Spaces

  • 构建基于条件随机序的传输空间,结合风险函数评估方向违规
  • 证明了软硬有序传输的适定性与对偶性,稳定条件下收敛但风险递增
  • 适用于因果、物理、风险敏感等需方向合规的学习场景

小的Wasserstein距离不足以保证变换的可接受性。在证据约束、语义、因果、物理、单调或风险敏感学习中,不仅要衡量两个概率分布的距离,还需判断质量转移方向是否符合已有信息。本文引入条件随机有序传输空间(CROTS),一类以$ L^0 $为值域的随机概率测度空间,配备Wasserstein环境度量、封闭随机序、硬/软有序传输差异及条件风险函数,用于评估在证据σ-代数下的序违规。核心是随机测度动力学的有序可接受传输几何,不同于锥值度量、有序Kantorovich构造、仅随机Wasserstein空间或生成路径的模型特定残差。建立了CROTS的理论基础,涵盖硬/软有序传输的适定性与对偶性、软到硬的变分收敛、随机提升空间的可测性与完备性、经典Wasserstein与有序几何的退化、有序测地线、约束巴氏中心与投影、条件风险-传输对偶,以及序违规分布的分离。主稳定性定理表明:随机学习动态可能在环境Wasserstein度量下收敛,而其局部可接受性泄漏遵循独立的条件序风险递推。由此产生的渐近序风险下界,为证据过度推断、有序分布偏移、鲁棒性失效和可接受分布动力学提供了数学语言。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

A small Wasserstein distance does not certify that a transformation is admissible. In evidence-constrained, semantic, causal, physical, monotone, or risk-sensitive learning, one must ask not only how far two probability laws are, but whether mass has moved in a direction allowed by available information. We introduce conditional random ordered transport spaces (CROTS), a class of \(L^0\)-valued spaces of random probability measures equipped with a Wasserstein ambient metric, a closed stochastic order, hard and soft ordered transport discrepancies, and a conditional risk functional for evaluating order violation under an evidence sigma-field. The central object is an order-admissible transport geometry for random measure-valued dynamics, distinct from cone-valued metrics, ordered Kantorovich constructions, random Wasserstein spaces alone, and model-specific residuals for generative paths. We develop the foundations of CROTS as a space theory for reliable distributional learning. The results include well-posedness and duality for hard and soft ordered transport, soft-to-hard variational convergence, measurability and completeness of the random lifted space, reductions to classical Wasserstein and ordered geometries, ordered geodesics, constrained barycenters and projections, conditional risk-transport duality, and separation of order-violating distributions. The main stability theorem shows that random learning dynamics may converge in the ambient Wasserstein metric while its local admissibility leakage follows a separate conditional order-risk recursion. The resulting asymptotic order-risk floor provides a mathematical language for evidence overreach, ordered distribution shift, robustness failure, and admissible distributional dynamics.

概率传输分布学习风险建模序约束

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