提出新模型联合学习物种分布的时空环境与群体结构,提升稀有物种预测能力。
STELLAR: Spatio-Temporal Environmental Learning with Latent Alignment and Refinement for Long-Tailed Species Distribution Modeling

- 构建时空图注意力网络,同步捕捉环境变化与物种共现动态。
- 在长尾分布下显著提升稀有物种预测准确率,优于现有方法。
- 适合生态学研究者、生物多样性保护决策者使用。
联合物种分布建模(JSDM)是生物多样性监测与保护规划的关键。然而,精确建模面临双重挑战:环境驱动因素和物种分布具有固有的时空特性,而物种共现模式存在复杂的非线性群落结构,并受稀有物种主导的严重长尾不平衡影响。现有方法通常孤立处理这些因素,仅基于静态协变量或忽略动态群落结构的历史轨迹。为此,我们提出 STELLAR(基于潜在对齐与精炼的时空环境学习),一种新型框架,通过联合优化动态生境上下文与群落结构,学习共享潜在空间。该方法包含三个互补模块:(1) 图-时序编码器,采用图注意力与循环单元聚合空间邻域效应,捕捉环境背景与群落结构的协同演化历史;(2) 上下文锚定潜在对齐机制,利用标签激活混合先验与监督对比学习,主动依据共享环境偏好聚类物种;(3) 不平衡感知解耦解码模块,采用不对称损失聚焦于难样本(稀有物种),防止长尾区域的模式崩溃。在大规模 eBird 数据集上的实验表明,该框架显著优于现有最先进基线,尤其在稀有物种预测与可解释物种相互作用揭示方面表现突出。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Joint Species Distribution Modeling (JSDM) is a key enabler for biodiversity monitoring and conservation planning. However, accurate JSDM faces two coupled challenges: environmental drivers and species distributions are inherently spatio-temporal, while species co-occurrence patterns exhibit complex non-linear community structure and severe long-tail imbalance driven by rare species. Existing approaches often address these factors in isolation, learning from static covariates or neglecting the historical trajectories of dynamic community structure. To overcome these limitations, we propose STELLAR (Spatio-Temporal Environmental Learning with Latent Alignment and Refinement), a novel framework that learns a shared latent space where dynamic habitat context and community structure are optimized jointly. Our approach integrates three complementary components: (1) a Graph-Temporal Encoder that employs graph attention and recurrent units to aggregate spatial neighborhood effects and capture the co-evolving historical dynamics of environmental context and community structure; (2) a Context-Anchored Latent Alignment mechanism that structures the latent space using a label-activated mixture prior and supervised contrastive learning, actively clustering species based on shared environmental preferences; and (3) an Imbalance-Aware Decoupled Decoding module that utilizes Asymmetric Loss to focus learning on hard, rare species samples, preventing mode collapse in the long tail. Experiments on the large-scale eBird dataset, curated with domain experts, demonstrate that our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, particularly in predicting rare species and revealing interpretable species interactions.
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