arXiv:2606.08578cs.LG2026-06中稿 · The Fourteenth Int…被引 2

解决大时序模型微调时陷入不良损失景观的问题。

Lost in the Non-convex Loss Landscape: How to Fine-tune the Large Time Series Model?

论文配图:Lost in the Non-convex Loss Landscape: How to Fine-tune the Large Time Series Model?
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用随机初始化模型构建平滑损失面,线性插值原模型权重。
  • 在8个主流时序模型上实现稳定性能提升,避免过拟合。
  • 适合需要高效微调大时序模型的研究者与工程师。

近年来,大时序模型(LTSMs)因其与大语言模型的相似性——包括灵活上下文长度、可扩展性和任务通用性——受到越来越多关注,其性能超越了先进任务特定模型。然而,已有研究指出,预训练的LTSMs可能具有条件差的非凸损失景观,导致训练能力有限。直接微调常引发过拟合和次优性能,有时甚至劣于从零训练,严重削弱预训练优势。为此,我们提出一种新型微调技术——平滑全微调(SFF)。具体而言,通过随机初始化构造一个辅助LTSM以获得更平滑的损失景观,并将其权重与预训练模型进行线性插值,从而平滑原始损失景观。该过程在保留预训练知识的同时提升可训练性,实现更有效的下游微调。从优化角度看,SFF扰动尖锐极小值而不显著损害平坦区域,有助于摆脱不良局部盆地,趋向更平滑且泛化性更强的解。在基准数据集上的大量实验表明,SFF在八种代表性LTSM(Timer、TimesFM、MOMENT、UniTS、MOIRAI、Chronos、TTMs、Sundial)的多种下游任务中均取得一致改进。代码已开源:https://github.com/Meteor-Stars/SFF。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Recently, large time series models (LTSMs) have gained increasing attention due to their similarities to large language models, including flexible context length, scalability, and task generality, outperforming advanced task-specific models. However, prior studies indicate that pre-trained LTSMs may exhibit a poorly conditioned non-convex loss landscape, leading to limited trainability. As a result, direct fine-tuning tends to cause overfitting and suboptimal performance, sometimes even worse than training from scratch, substantially diminishing the benefits of pre-training. To overcome this limitation, we propose Smoothed Full Fine-tuning (SFF), a novel fine-tuning technology. Specifically, we construct an auxiliary LTSM via random initialization to obtain a smoother loss landscape, and then linearly interpolate its weights with those of the pre-trained model to smooth the original landscape. This process improves trainability while preserving pre-trained knowledge, thereby enabling more effective downstream fine-tuning. From an optimization perspective, SFF perturbs sharp minima without significantly harming flat regions, facilitating escape from poor local basins toward smoother and more generalizable solutions. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate consistent improvements across eight representative LTSMs, including Timer, TimesFM, MOMENT, UniTS, MOIRAI, Chronos, TTMs, and Sundial, on diverse downstream tasks. The code is available at the link: https://github.com/Meteor-Stars/SFF.

时序建模微调优化损失景观大模型

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