用语义时间信号生成城市出行流量,无需历史数据
DynaOD: Dynamic Origin-Destination Flow Generation with Discrete-to-Continuous Temporal Semantic Modeling

- 分两步建模:离散方向趋势+连续时间演化
- 在真实数据集上预测精度和分布保真度均超越基线
- 模块化设计,可跨城市部署,适合交通模拟研究
动态起讫点(OD)流量生成旨在仅基于时间上下文合成真实的移动行为,无需依赖历史OD观测。核心挑战在于将语义时间信号转化为时间连贯的OD模式,同时保持城市区域固有的空间异质性。我们提出DynaOD,一种语义驱动框架,通过两种互补视角建模时间动态:离散方向趋势刻画城市活动模式的定性变化,连续时间演化捕捉这些变化随时间的展开过程。通过联合编码这些时间语义,框架构建时变区域表征,以轻量级、即插即用方式调制预训练的静态OD生成器。该模块化设计支持可扩展部署与跨城市迁移。在大规模真实数据集上的大量实验表明,本方法在预测准确性和分布保真度方面均持续优于代表性基线。代码已公开于https://github.com/csjiezhao/DynaOD。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Dynamic origin-destination (OD) flow generation seeks to synthesize realistic mobility dynamics from temporal context alone, without relying on historical OD observations. A key challenge is to translate semantic temporal signals into temporally coherent OD patterns while preserving the inherent spatial heterogeneity of urban regions. We propose DynaOD, a semantic-driven framework that models temporal dynamics through two complementary perspectives: discrete directional trends that characterize qualitative shifts in urban activity patterns, and continuous temporal evolution that captures how such shifts unfold over time. By jointly encoding these temporal semantics, the framework constructs time-varying region representations that condition pretrained static OD generators in a lightweight and plug-and-play fashion. This modular design further supports scalable deployment and cross-city transferability. Extensive experiments on large-scale real-world datasets show that our method consistently outperforms representative baselines in both predictive accuracy and distributional fidelity. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/csjiezhao/DynaOD.
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