arXiv:2606.09392cs.AI2026-06

用粗粒度数据预测细粒度交通,提升精度与效率

From Coarse to Fine: Managing Temporal Granularity in Spatio-Temporal Data for Fine-Grained Traffic Prediction

论文配图:From Coarse to Fine: Managing Temporal Granularity in Spatio-Temporal Data for Fine-Grained Traffic Prediction
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 设计双组件框架,分别建模空间依赖与逐级时间外推
  • 在6个数据集上超越现有方法,精度与速度均显著提升
  • 适合需要高精度交通预测的智慧城市系统

高效获取、存储和利用交通数据是时空数据管理的关键挑战。多数交通数据系统以固定粗粒度时间间隔采集和存储数据,以降低存储与计算成本。然而,这种粗粒度数据严重限制了需细粒度预测的下游应用。若在所有地点和时间段持续收集维护细粒度数据,将对数据库存储和预处理管道造成巨大负担。为解决时间粒度不匹配问题,我们提出新问题:基于粗粒度采样数据预测细粒度未来交通。我们提出时空精炼预测器(STRP),一种具备粒度感知能力的时空数据系统框架。STRP集成两个组件:树卷积用于高效且可解释的空间依赖建模,逆扩张卷积用于渐进式时间外推。STRP支持两种实用预测设置:窗口式与时长式,以应对不同形式的粒度不匹配。在六个基准数据集上的实验表明,STRP在准确率和效率方面均显著优于当前最优基线。本工作为时空交通数据系统中的粒度不匹配提供了实用且可解释的解决方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Efficient acquisition, storage, and utilization of traffic data are critical challenges in spatio-temporal data management. Most traffic data systems collect and store observations at fixed, coarse-grained temporal intervals to reduce storage and computation costs. However, such coarse-grained data severely limits downstream applications that require predictions at a finer temporal granularity. Collecting and maintaining fine-grained traffic data across all locations and time periods would impose a substantial burden on database storage and preprocessing pipelines. To address this temporal granularity mismatch, we formulate a novel problem: predicting fine-grained future traffic using coarse-grained sampled data. We propose the Spatial-Temporal Refinement Predictor (STRP), a granularity-aware framework for spatio-temporal data systems. STRP integrates two components: Tree Convolution for efficient and interpretable spatial dependency modeling, and Inverse Dilated Convolution for progressive temporal extrapolation. STRP supports two practical prediction settings: window-based and duration-based, to handle different forms of granularity mismatch. Experiments on six benchmark datasets show that STRP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both accuracy and efficiency. Our work offers a practical and interpretable approach to managing granularity mismatches in spatio-temporal traffic data systems.

交通预测时空模型粒度匹配深度学习

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