arXiv:2606.09787cs.LGcs.NI2026-06

解决云边端系统预测冷启动问题,自动融合全局数据提升时序预测精度。

Zero Touch Predictive Orchestration: Automating Time-Series Models for the Cloud-Edge Continuum

论文配图:Zero Touch Predictive Orchestration: Automating Time-Series Models for the Cloud-Edge Continuum
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 通过数据混合策略,将局部稀疏数据与高分辨率全局数据结合。
  • 在真实环境中,预测误差(MSE/MAE/MAPE)显著降低,收敛速度加快。
  • 适合需要自动化运维的边缘计算系统开发者与云边协同架构设计者。

云边端连续体(CEC)通过将资源部署至远端边缘支持低延迟应用,但其极端波动性使得基于时序预测的零接触管理至关重要。然而,编排器面临严重‘冷启动’问题:新发现节点缺乏训练本地预测模型所需的历史数据,而通用模型又难以捕捉特定硬件与微服务行为。为此,我们提出一种全自动化时序预测架构,采用新型数据混合方法。在基础设施层,引入轻量级、技术无关的资源暴露器(RE),动态发现节点并持续采集可定制遥测数据(如计算、网络、能耗)。为克服初始本地样本稀疏性,框架自动将这些数据与我们的公开高分辨率数据集TimeTrack(45秒间隔采集)融合。该融合结合了TimeTrack的高频时序模式与本地节点的精准校准。经神经架构搜索(NAS)引擎处理后,系统自动生成高精度基线模型。实验表明,将目标数据与TimeTrack融合有效缓解冷启动挑战,相比仅用稀疏本地数据、仅用通用数据集或与其他标准数据集混合,显著提升均方误差(MSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE),并加速收敛,为持续MLOps部署奠定坚实基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The Cloud-Edge Continuum (CEC) enables latency-critical applications by distributing resources to the far edge, but its extreme volatility makes proactive Zero Touch Management via time-series forecasting essential. However, orchestrators face a severe "cold start" problem: newly discovered nodes lack the historical data required to train localized predictive models, while generalized models fail to capture unique hardware and microservice behaviors. To solve this, we propose a fully automated time-series prediction architecture driven by a novel data-mixing methodology. At the infrastructure level, we introduce a lightweight, technology-agnostic Resource Exposer (RE) that dynamically discovers nodes and continuously collects customizable telemetry (e.g., compute, network, energy). To overcome the sparsity of these initial local samples, our framework automatically merges them with TimeTrack, our publicly available, high-resolution dataset collected at 45-second intervals. This synergizes TimeTrack's foundational, high-frequency temporal patterns with the precise calibration of the local node data. Processed through a Neural Architecture Search (NAS) engine, the system automatically generates highly accurate baseline models. Experimental results demonstrate that merging the target data with TimeTrack effectively mitigates the cold start challenge. This integration significantly improves forecasting accuracy measured in Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and accelerates convergence compared to training on the sparse local samples alone, training solely on generic datasets, or mixing the target data with standard alternative datasets, establishing a robust foundation for continuous MLOps deployment.

时序预测云边协同自动化运维数据融合

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