arXiv:2606.11793cs.LGcs.AI2026-06

用AI重建全球高分辨率土地利用,提升气候模拟准确性

Scalable Deep Learning Framework for Global High-Resolution Land Use Reconstruction

论文配图:Scalable Deep Learning Framework for Global High-Resolution Land Use Reconstruction
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 基于U-Net架构融合粗分辨率数据与地理特征,逐年重建土地利用
  • 在缺乏观测的时期实现时空连续的高分辨率土地覆盖重建
  • 开源模型可实时耦合数字孪生平台,适用于气候预测研究

陆地碳循环中的不确定性是气候预测的主要制约因素,部分源于地球系统模型中地表表征的不确定性。为此,我们提出数据驱动框架AI4Land,用于生成关键地表变量的历史重建和未来预测。该框架采用两阶段方法,本文聚焦第一阶段:利用粗分辨率情景数据与静态地理特征,通过U-Net架构重建年度土地利用与土地覆盖。第二阶段将利用生成的高分辨率地图,在更细时间尺度上预测叶面积指数等动态生物物理变量。模型基于地球观测数据训练,学习生成空间显式且物理解释一致的地表模式,扩展了无直接观测时期的时序覆盖。AI4Land在MareNostrum5超级计算机上开发与训练,展示了GPU加速的高性能计算基础设施如何支撑全球气候人工智能流水线。最终产品为一系列开源模拟器,可实时耦合数字孪生平台(如‘地球目的地’计划所开发),按需提供真实且动态演变的地表条件,旨在减少关键不确定性,提升下一代气候模拟的预测能力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Uncertainty in the terrestrial carbon cycle remains a major constraint in climate projections, partly driven by the uncertainties affecting the land surface representation and variability in Earth system models. To address this limitation, we present a data-driven framework AI4Land, for generating high-resolution historical reconstructions and future projections of key land surface variables. The framework follows a two-phase approach using a U-Net architecture. In the first phase, which is the focus of this work, it reconstructs annual land use and land cover by integrating coarse-resolution scenario data with static geophysical features. In a planned second phase, the resulting high-resolution maps will be used to predict dynamic biophysical variables, particularly leaf area index, at finer temporal scales. Trained on Earth observation data, the models learn to reproduce spatially explicit and physically consistent land surface patterns, extending temporal coverage to periods lacking direct observations. AI4Land was developed and trained on MareNostrum5, demonstrating how GPU-accelerated HPC infrastructure enables global-scale climate AI pipelines. The final product is a suite of open-source emulators designed for real-time coupling with digital twin platforms, such as those developed under the Destination Earth initiative. By delivering realistic and evolving land surface conditions on demand, this work aims to reduce critical uncertainties and improve the predictive power of next-generation climate simulations.

土地利用气候模拟AI4Land高分辨率

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