用逆最优传输分析上学流,算出补贴的等效出行距离
Learning Urban Access Costs from Origin-Destination Flows via Inverse Optimal Transport

- 通过逆最优传输模型,从入学流动数据反推隐含选择成本
- 发现补贴可抵消约λ^(k)公里的感知出行距离,实测覆盖28.3万次行程
- 适合城市规划者优化教育补贴与学校选址决策
城市公共服务依赖公共与私人设施网络,如学校、诊所和交通服务。规划者常掌握居民去向,却无法观测其权衡距离、价格、制度准入等要素的隐含成本函数。本文以菲律宾全国最大教育补贴计划为案例,研究学校选择问题。将学校间入学流动视为熵正则最优传输计划,采用两种互补的逆最优传输模型:一个可解释的距离分带模型(含补贴项),以及通过可微Sinkhorn前向传播训练的神经成本模型。在人口最密集区域23,820个观测流动、283,016名学习者行程上应用该框架,估算出补贴等效距离λ^(k),即补贴所抵消的感知出行里程数。该方法使行政层面的起止点数据转化为可解释的可达性指标,可用于支持有意识的补贴设计、设施选址与城市服务配置。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Cities deliver basic services through mixed public-private facility networks, including schools, clinics, transit providers, and subsidized service points. In these systems, planners often observe where households go, but not the latent cost function through which they trade off factors such as distance, price, and institutional access. We study this urban problem through school choice in the Philippines, where the country's largest national education subsidy is intended to redirect learners from congested public schools to participating private schools. Treating school-to-school enrollment flows as an entropic optimal transport plan, we recover latent choice costs using two complementary inverse optimal transport models: an interpretable distance-banded model with a subsidy term, and a neural cost model trained through a differentiable Sinkhorn forward pass. Applied to 283{,}016 learner trips across 23{,}820 observed flows in the most populated region, the framework estimates a subsidy-equivalent distance, $λ^{(k)}$, interpreted as the kilometers of perceived travel cost offset by the subsidy. The case demonstrates how administrative origin-destination data can be transformed into interpretable planning metrics for accessibility-aware subsidy design, facility siting, and urban service allocation.
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