用符号逻辑让自动驾驶预测更安全可解释
Driving, Fast or Slow? Neuro-Symbolic Guidance for Motion Prediction in Multi-Modal Ground Mobility

- 用自然语言生成规则代码,结合神经网络做运动预测
- 在Argoverse 2上提升现有模型表现,误差降低12%
- 适合需要高可信度的自动驾驶系统研发人员
复杂交通场景中对行人、自行车、汽车和卡车等异构体进行准确且可解释的运动预测,是实现安全自主导航的关键。然而,当前主流方法多为黑箱模型,未能显式编码真实交通中的规则与行为约束。本文提出轨迹合规性塑造(TraCS)框架,通过神经符号方法,在现有黑箱预测模型基础上引入可解释的概率一阶逻辑推理。TraCS采用代理式代码生成流水线,将交通规则的自然语言描述转化为可执行逻辑,并构建动态更新的合规景观。为防止过度自信地误导预测,引入上下文感知的神经置信度评分以衰减合规信号。在Argoverse 2基准上的实验表明,TraCS持续改进先进预测模型,在多种场景下显著提升准确性与可解释性,证明概率符号推理是神经预测的有效补充。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate and interpretable motion prediction for heterogeneous traffic spaces, including pedestrians, bicycles, cars, and trucks, is essential for safe autonomous navigation. Nevertheless, state-of-the-art approaches remain predominantly black-box, lacking explicit encoding of the regulatory and behavioral constraints of real-world mobility. We propose Trajectory Compliance-Shaping (TraCS), a neuro-symbolic framework that augments existing black-box motion prediction backbones with interpretable and probabilistic first-order logic. To do so, TraCS employs an agentic code-generation pipeline to bridge the gap between natural-language descriptions of traffic regulations and probabilistic motion prediction. Furthermore, TraCS employs a reactive data-streaming inference engine that maintains and efficiently updates compliance landscapes as scenes evolve. To prevent TraCS from overconfidently steering the backbone's predictions in the wrong direction, we propose a neural confidence rating learned as a context-aware attenuation of the compliance signal. We demonstrate on the Argoverse 2 benchmark how TraCS consistently improves state-of-the-art prediction backbones, showing that probabilistic and symbolic compliance reasoning is a broadly applicable and computationally efficient complement to purely neural motion predictors.
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