arXiv:2606.15393stat.MLcs.LG2026-06

在有限数据下控制假阳性,兼顾假设空间结构与资源效率。

Finite Resources False Discovery Rate Control in Structured Hypothesis Spaces

论文配图:Finite Resources False Discovery Rate Control in Structured Hypothesis Spaces
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用再生核希尔伯特空间建模假设结构,适应复杂依赖关系。
  • 提出两种决策规则:一保精确控制假发现率,一提升检验功效。
  • 可优化采样分配策略,节省计算资源,适合高维生物统计场景。

科学发现依赖大规模假设检验,但受限于获取参考数据(零假设分布)的资源,常面临有限数据不确定性问题,且需考虑假设空间中可能存在的结构。本文提出一种框架,在每个假设仅基于有限次零样本得出的p值存在不确定性时,仍能控制假发现率(FDR),同时适用于任意结构的假设空间,只需通过合适的再生核表示结构。我们设计了两种决策规则:第一种保证精确的FDR控制;第二种通过将镜像统计量方法转换到计数空间,最大化统计功效,并利用解析框架评估当镜像对称性被放宽时的FDR控制性能。此外,该再生核希尔伯特空间(RKHS)框架的可计算性使我们能够直接分析有限数据带来的不确定性,据此建议一种高效的零分布样本分配策略。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Scientific discovery relies on large-scale hypothesis testing. However, the capacity to identify true discoveries while controlling false discovery faces major challenges: obtaining relevant reference data (the null distribution) is resource-intensive, leaving finite-data uncertainty, and the procedure should account for the inherent structure in the hypothesis space, when such structure exists. Here, we present a framework for controlling the false discovery rate both when each hypothesis is evidenced only by a finite count of null draws, leaving its p-value uncertain, and when the hypothesis space carries arbitrary structure, requiring only that the structure be represented through a suitable reproducing kernel. We present two decision rules that are both robust to structural mis-specification, yet offer a distinct trade-off between exact FDR control and statistical power. The first rule guarantees exact FDR control; the second maximizes power by adapting mirror-statistic control into count space, utilizing an analytical framework to assess FDR control when exact mirror symmetry is relaxed. Furthermore, the tractability gained by the RKHS framework allows us to directly investigate finite-data uncertainties, which we leverage to suggest a policy for the efficient allocation of null distribution samples.

假发现率统计推断资源优化

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