arXiv:2606.15637cs.LG2026-06

构建可自适应预测的心脏电生理数字孪生,提升个性化医疗精准度。

HAPI-EP: Towards Hybrid, Adaptive, and Predictive Digital Twins of Cardiac Electrophysiology

论文配图:HAPI-EP: Towards Hybrid, Adaptive, and Predictive Digital Twins of Cardiac Electrophysiology
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 融合物理模型与神经网络,构建可解释的混合灰箱模型。
  • 通过元学习实现快速少样本数据适配,支持实时更新。
  • 具备理论可识别性,预测性能强且泛化能力出色,适合临床应用。

患者特异性心脏数字孪生(DT)在个性化医疗中潜力巨大,但其对实时数据的快速动态适应及适应后的预测能力仍是核心挑战。本文从两个基础环节切入:一是机理模型与数据驱动模型的权衡,二是优化策略多依赖重构目标导致模型不可识别。为此提出HAPI框架,实现混合、自适应、可预测的数字孪生。首先,构建物理集成的灰箱模型,以可解释的机理主干结合神经网络建模残差。其次,不预设所有变化,而是利用前馈元学习器实现少样本实时数据下的混合模型参数快速推断,训练目标为预测而非重构。最后,证明该自适应机制等价于构建条件生成模型,赋予模型理论可识别性,显著提升预测性能。在心脏电生理中使用含反应动力学的混合单域模型与神经图扩散,合成与真实数据实验均表明:机理-神经混合与预测性适配对获得可识别、强预测、跨分布泛化的能力至关重要。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

A digital twin (DT) of a patient-specific heart offers significant potential in personalized medicine. However, its rapid and dynamic adaptation to an individual's live data and its predictive capability after adaptation remains central challenges. We examine this challenge from its two building blocks: DT formulation where mechanistic and data-driven models show competing merits and limitations, and DT optimization strategies that are largely driven by a reconstruction objective leading to un-identifiable models. We address both bottlenecks via HAPI -- an AI framework for building hybrid, adaptive, and predictive DTs with three key enablers. First, HAPI constructs a physics-integrated gray-box model in which an interpretable mechanistic backbone is augmented by a neural component that models its residual to the observed data. Second, rather than attempting to pre-encode all possible variations in a static hybrid model, HAPI enables rapid on-the-fly adaptation of the hybrid model to few-shot live data, achieved by feedforward meta-learners realizing amortized inference of both mechanistic and neural parameters of the hybrid model trained with predictive objectives. Finally, we show that this adaptivity corresponds to the construction of a conditional generative model (i.e., the hybrid DT) that endows it with theoretical identifiability and thus strong performance in predictive scenarios. We demonstrate the proof-of-concept of HAPI in cardiac electrophysiology using a hybrid monodomain model with mechanistic reaction kinetics and neural graph diffusion. Across synthetic and real-data studies, we show that HAPI's mechanistic-neural hybridization and predictive adaptation are critical for obtaining identifiable DTs with strong predictive and out-of-distribution capabilities.

数字孪生心脏电生理混合模型自适应学习

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