arXiv:2606.16735cs.RO2026-06中稿 · the IEEE Transacti…

建模自动驾驶与人类司机互信沟通,提升变道安全效率

Pride and Prejudice: Toward an Information-Theoretic Framework for Mutually Communicative Driver Behavior Modeling

论文配图:Pride and Prejudice: Toward an Information-Theoretic Framework for Mutually Communicative Driver Behavior Modeling
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用贝叶斯博弈+信息论构建双向意图表达与探知机制
  • 变道预测误差降低20%,且在真实数据上泛化能力强
  • 发现倾听比自我表达更重要,个体差异显著

混合自动驾驶场景中,自动驾驶车辆(AV)与人类驾驶车辆(HV)因误读对方意图导致安全与效率下降。本文将变道过程视为隐式双向通信,提出框架:在认知不确定性下,自车既表达意图又探测对方偏好。结合层级k贝叶斯劝说博弈、虚拟信号特征、信息论奖励及可调通信权重,引入P-I与P-P平面分析沟通强度与倾向。基于自然主义的NGSIM数据集,使用通信增强型多智能体逆强化学习(C-MIRL)进行校准。相比非通信基线,本模型将强制变道预测误差降低20%,且保持强泛化能力。人机问卷评分与校准后的沟通变量正相关,支持模型主观有效性。学习到的奖励显示,探询与倾听比自傲与表达更关键,且探询偏好在驾驶员间差异更大。结果支持在交互驾驶中显式建模双向沟通与认知不确定性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Mixed autonomy driving becomes unsafe and inefficient when autonomous vehicles (AVs) and human-driven vehicles (HVs) misread each other's intentions. We study this problem as implicit mutual communication in lane changes. The proposed framework models how the ego vehicle both expresses its intent and probes the other driver's preference under epistemic uncertainty. It combines a level-k Bayesian persuasion game with virtual features for proactive signaling, information-theoretic rewards for mutual communication, and adaptive weights of communication affordances. We further introduce the Pride-Inquiry (P-I) and Pride-Prejudice (P-P) planes to analyze communication intensity and tendency. The model is calibrated with a Communication-Based Multi-Agent Inverse Reinforcement Learning algorithm (C-MIRL) on the naturalistic NGSIM dataset. Compared with the non-communicative baseline, the proposed model reduces the prediction error of mandatory lane changes by up to 20% while maintaining strong generalization. Driver-In-the-Loop questionnaire scores are positively correlated with the calibrated communication variables, supporting the subjective validity of the model. The learned rewards further show that inquiry and listening affordances contribute more than pride and expression alone, and that inquiry preference varies more strongly across drivers. These results support explicit modeling of mutual communication and epistemic uncertainty in interactive driving.

自动驾驶意图预测交互建模信息论

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。