arXiv:2606.19371cs.LGcs.AI2026-06

用低成本数据起步,按需引入影像,降低阿尔茨海默病诊断成本。

ProMUSE: Progressive Multi-modal Uncertainty-guided Staged Evidential Alzheimer Disease Classification

论文配图:ProMUSE: Progressive Multi-modal Uncertainty-guided Staged Evidential Alzheimer Disease Classification
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 基于临床数据先判断,不确定时逐步加入MRI/PET
  • 在多个数据集上准确率不输全模态方法,影像使用减少50%-90%
  • 适合资源有限的医院做早期筛查,兼顾精度与成本

阿尔茨海默病(AD)是一种危害老年人记忆与认知能力的致命疾病。多数治疗在早期阶段有效,因此对早期诊断的需求日益增长。当前诊断依赖临床评估、结构磁共振成像(MRI)和正电子发射断层扫描(PET)等多模态数据。然而,MRI和PET获取成本高且不普及,全模态分析在真实临床中难以实施。本文提出ProMUSE:一种渐进式多模态不确定性引导的分阶段证据推理网络,能自适应判断何时需要补充额外模态,以降低整体数据采集成本并保持准确性。ProMUSE首先使用低成本临床数据进行证据分类,并通过基于狄利克雷分布的主观逻辑模型量化不确定性。当不确定性超过学习到的阈值时,逐步引入MRI或PET特征,利用德姆斯特-谢弗理论融合各模态的置信度与不确定性,实现校准的多模态预测。该分阶段采集策略在保持高精度的同时减少对昂贵影像的依赖。在ADNI、AIBL和OASIS数据集上,针对健康对照(CN)-AD、CN-MCI、MCI-AD三类任务的实验表明,ProMUSE在准确率上达到或优于全模态基线,同时将MRI/PET使用量减少50%-90%,显著降低成本。结果证明ProMUSE是一种实用、具备不确定性感知能力且资源高效的现实场景阿尔茨海默病筛查方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a fatal disorder that destroys memory and cognitive skills in the elderly population. Most treatments for AD are effective in the early stage, leading to an increasing demand for early AD diagnosis. AD diagnosis increasingly relies on multimodal data such as clinical assessments, structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI), and Positron Emission Tomography (PET) imaging. However, MRI and PET acquisition remain costly and not universally accessible, making full-modality inference impractical in real-world clinical workflows. We propose ProMUSE, a Progressive Multi-modal Uncertainty Guided Staged Evidential Network that adaptively determines when additional modalities are necessary, helping reduce the overall cost of data acquisition while maintaining accuracy. ProMUSE first performs evidential classification using low-cost clinical data and quantifies uncertainty via a Dirichlet-based subjective logic model. When uncertainty exceeds a learned threshold, ProMUSE progressively incorporates MRI or PET features, fusing modality-wise belief and uncertainty through Dempster-Shafer theory to obtain a calibrated multimodal prediction. This staged acquisition strategy enables accurate diagnosis while minimizing reliance on expensive imaging. Experiments on ADNI, AIBL, and OASIS across CN-AD, CN-MCI, and MCI-AD tasks demonstrate that ProMUSE achieves competitive or superior accuracy compared to full-modality baselines while reducing MRI/PET usage by 50-90%, yielding substantial cost savings. These results highlight ProMUSE as a practical, uncertainty-aware, and resource-efficient solution for real-world AD screening.

阿尔茨海默病多模态不确定性医疗AI

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