arXiv:2606.20053cs.LG2026-06

用神经网络替代电池电化学模型,实现快速高精度状态预测。

Comparative Study of Neural Surrogate Architectures for Autoregressive Prediction of Internal Battery States

论文配图:Comparative Study of Neural Surrogate Architectures for Autoregressive Prediction of Internal Battery States
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 设计四种神经网络作为自回归状态转移器,统一训练框架下对比性能。
  • U-Net在300步滚动预测中平均误差仅3%,推理速度提升5.38倍。
  • 适合电池管理系统和数字孪生场景,对空间结构敏感性有新发现。

Doyle-Fuller-Newman (DFN) 模型能高保真解析锂离子电池内部电化学状态,但其数值求解计算成本过高,难以实现实时部署,限制了从单体电池到电池包乃至车队规模的应用扩展。尽管机器学习代理模型可通过GPU加速显著降低推理延迟,但现有方法多学习特定工况下的近似解,缺乏通用状态演化能力。本文系统比较了四种神经网络架构(MLP、ResNet、U-Net、FNO),将其作为自回归状态转移算子,用于跨广泛工况预测完整DFN内部状态。为确保架构对比的公平性,所有模型均在统一框架下使用多步展开与电流条件化进行训练,隔离空间归纳偏置的影响。结果表明,U-Net凭借其多尺度特征层次,在300步自回归滚动预测后,所有内部状态变量的平均最终步nRMSE为3%,相比数值求解器提速5.38倍。研究凸显空间归纳偏置是代理模型性能的关键决定因素,推动下一代电池管理与数字孪生系统中内部状态可观测性的进展。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The Doyle-Fuller-Newman (DFN) model resolves internal electrochemical states in lithium-ion batteries with high fidelity. However, the numerical solution of its governing equations is computationally prohibitive for real-time deployment, limiting scalability from individual cells to pack and fleet-scale applications. While machine learning surrogates can substantially reduce inference latency through GPU acceleration, most existing approaches learn solution approximations tied to specific operating conditions rather than learning generalizable state-evolution dynamics. This work presents a systematic comparison of four neural network architectures (MLP, ResNet, U-Net, FNO) formulated as autoregressive state-transition operators that predict full DFN internal states across a wide range of operating conditions. To ensure a controlled architectural comparison, all models are trained under a unified framework using multi-step unrolling and current-conditioning, isolating the impact of spatial inductive bias. Results demonstrate that the U-Net's multi-scale feature hierarchy achieves a mean final-step nRMSE of 3% averaged across all internal state variables after 300-step autoregressive rollouts, while providing a 5.38x speed-up over the numerical solver. These findings highlight spatial inductive bias as a critical determinant of surrogate performance, advancing the development of surrogates for internal state observability for next-generation battery management systems and digital twins.

电池管理神经网络状态预测数字孪生

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