arXiv:2606.20748cs.ROcs.HC2026-06

用前兆信号和信任校准,让人形机器人提前预判风险

Toward Machine Risk Perception: Integrating Trust Calibration and Precursor-Based Risk Estimation for Humanoid

  • 通过前兆信号建模事故演化过程,结合逻辑增长与时间衰减
  • 126起事件中发现12种主要事故模式,多数在1秒内出现多重前兆
  • 动态调整行为降低风险,适合工业5.0中人机协同场景

人形机器人作为智能制造中的协作伙伴,其类人动态运动带来与固定或轮式机器人本质不同的安全风险。传统基于反应力或距离阈值的安全范式无法捕捉人形机器人故障的时序性与不确定性。本文提出一种基于前兆信号与信任校准的主动风险感知框架。事故演化通过逻辑-指数(LE)模型建模,整合多样前兆的逻辑上升趋势与时间衰减效应。信任定义为事故概率的倒数,使机器人可实时调整行为:风险升高时降低激进性,稳定后恢复信心。基于126起已记录事件和241个前兆的多源数据集分析显示,存在12种主导事故模式,多数在1秒内出现重叠前兆。模拟‘跌倒撞击人类’案例表明,LE-信任耦合可触发早期干预并防止坠落。研究将人形机器人安全从静态阈值提升至动态、证据驱动的推断,为工业5.0环境下的风险感知与可信人机协作奠定基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Humanoid robots are emerging as co-workers in smart manufacturing, yet their dynamic, human-like movements introduce safety risks that differ fundamentally from those of fixed or wheeled robots. Conventional safety paradigms based on reactive force or distance limits fail to capture the sequential, uncertain nature of humanoid failures. This study proposes a precursor-driven, trust-calibrated framework to enable proactive humanoid risk perception. Accident evolution is modeled through sequential precursor cues using a Logistic-Exponential (LE) formulation that couples logistic escalation from diverse precursors with exponential decay for temporal dissipation. Trust is defined as the inverse of the estimated accident probability, allowing humanoids to adapt behavior in real time, reducing aggressiveness when risk intensifies, and restoring confidence as stability returns. A multi-source dataset of 126 documented events and 241 precursors revealed twelve dominant accident modes, most evolving through overlapping cues within one second. A simulated case study ("fall-onto-human") demonstrated how the LE-Trust coupling can trigger early intervention and prevent collapse. The results advance humanoid safety from static thresholds toward dynamic, evidence-based inference, establishing a foundation for risk-aware and trustworthy human-robot collaboration in Industry 5.0 environments.

人形机器人风险感知工业5.0安全建模

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