Transformer轨迹预测模型对噪声数据敏感,真实场景下精度可能下降3.9倍。
Mind the Noise: Sensitivity of Transformer-based Interaction-Aware Trajectory Prediction Models to Noisy Data
- 用Transformer分析多智能体交互,依赖注意力捕捉行为关系。
- 小噪声使精度下降1.3倍,高噪声下降幅达3.9倍。
- 适合自动驾驶安全评估与抗噪模型研发者阅读。
轨迹预测使自动驾驶车辆能预判周围对象(或智能体)的未来行为,从而提升驾驶安全与效率。当前基于Transformer的交互感知轨迹预测模型依赖注意力机制捕捉多智能体交互,通常在长距离高质量数据集上训练和评估。这些数据集通过聚合多车或无人机数据并离线剔除检测与跟踪噪声获得。然而,在实际部署中,周围对象的状态信息(位置、速度、航向)远非无噪。状态估计受感知不确定性与定位误差影响,尤其在通过车联万物(V2X)通信获取的信息中更为显著。本文分析了噪声状态信息对先进Transformer交互感知轨迹预测模型的影响。结果表明,随着噪声强度增加,预测精度迅速下降。数值结果显示,在较小噪声水平下精度下降1.3倍,而在最高(但现实)噪声条件下降幅高达3.9倍。这些发现揭示了轨迹预测模型对噪声数据的强敏感性,强调了需要更真实的训练与评估数据集,以及噪声缓解策略。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Trajectory prediction allows autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future behavior of surrounding objects (or agents) and, accordingly, maximize the safety and efficiency of their driving. State-of-the-art Transformed-based interaction-aware trajectory prediction models, which rely on attention mechanisms to capture multi-agent interactions and maximize prediction accuracy, are commonly trained and evaluated on long-range high-quality datasets. These datasets are typically obtained by aggregating data from multiple vehicles or drones and removing any object detection or tracking noise offline. Yet, information about a surrounding object's state (its position, speed, heading) is far from being noiseless in real-world deployments. Object state estimation is affected by perception uncertainties and localization errors that can be particularly large for objects received via Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) communications. In this paper, we analyze the impact of noisy object state information on the trajectory prediction accuracy of a state-of-the-art Transformer-based interaction-aware trajectory prediction model. Our study demonstrates that trajectory prediction accuracy can rapidly deteriorate as the noise intensity increases. Numerical results show that the prediction accuracy can reduce by a 1.3x factor under small noise levels and by as much as a 3.9x factor under the highest (yet realistic) noise conditions. These findings reveal the strong sensitivity of trajectory prediction models to noisy data, underscoring the need for more realistic training and evaluation datasets as well as noise mitigation strategies.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。