arXiv:2606.22126cs.CL2026-06

用大模型理解时间序列背后的逻辑,而非仅预测数值。

From Recognition to Understanding: Unlocking Cognitive Time Series Reasoning with LLMs

论文配图:From Recognition to Understanding: Unlocking Cognitive Time Series Reasoning with LLMs
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将时间序列转为语义对齐的片段表示,让大模型能读懂上下文。
  • 在4.1万条真实数据上测试,推理准确率显著超越现有方法。
  • 适合做金融、医疗等需要深层分析的时序决策任务的人看。

时间序列分析近年结合大语言模型(LLMs)以利用其推理与世界知识能力,但成效有限。我们归因于现有任务设定与LLM优势不匹配:多数场景将时序理解简化为曲线拟合,聚焦低层次预测,忽视真实世界时序决策中的语义、上下文和推理复杂性。为此,我们提出TSCognition,一个用于多维时序推理的多模态基准,整合15个公开来源的真实时序数据与文本信息,构建约4.1万条围绕五类认知推理任务的问答样本:解码、定位、推断、外推与行动。在此基础上,我们进一步提出TSAlign框架,通过门控残差注入与多变量融合,将时间序列编码为紧凑的片段级表示,并将其对齐至LLM嵌入空间的语义方向。实验表明,TSAlign在TSCognition和公开的TimerBed基准上均优于现有LLM、视觉语言模型及时间序列问答基线,同时大幅降低计算成本。代码已开源。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Time series analysis has recently been coupled with Large Language Models (LLMs) to leverage their reasoning and world knowledge capabilities, yet gains remain limited. We attribute this to a fundamental mismatch between existing task formulations and LLM strengths: most settings reduce time series understanding to curve-fitting systems, focusing on low-level prediction while ignoring the semantic, contextual, and reasoning-intensive nature of real-world temporal decision-making.To address these limitations, we introduce TSCognition, a multimodal benchmark for multi-dimensional time series reasoning. It collects real-world time series and textual information from 15 public sources and constructs approximately 41K QA samples around five cognitive reasoning tasks: Decoding, Grounding, Inferring, Extrapolating, and Acting. Building on this, we further propose TSAlign, a unified framework that encodes time series into compact patch-level representations and aligns them with semantic directions in the LLM embedding space via gated residual injection and multivariate fusion.Experiments show that TSAlign outperforms existing LLM, VLM, and time series QA baselines on TSCognition and the publicly available TimerBed benchmark while substantially reducing computational cost.Code is available at: [https://github.com/EIT-NLP/CognitiveTSR](https://github.com/EIT-NLP/CognitiveTSR)

时序推理大模型多模态认知建模

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