提出两种神经网络方法求解制度切换下的随机因子模型最优策略问题。
Deep numerical schemes for systems of Ergodic BSDEs with applications to regime-switching forward utilities

- 基于局部误差最小化与深度伽辽金法,构建两类求解耦合遍历倒向随机微分方程的新算法。
- 数值实验表明,考虑制度切换显著影响前向效用偏好,且方法在高维场景下收敛稳定。
- 适合金融工程、量化投资领域研究者,尤其关注动态风险偏好建模的场景。
本文提出两种基于神经网络的数值方法,用于求解耦合的遍历倒向随机微分方程(eBSDEs)系统,旨在近似制度切换随机因子模型中前向效用框架下的最优策略。方法建立在[HLT20]提出的eBSDEs表示基础上,通过将系统解与一个带随机终止时间的多维倒向随机微分方程关联(终止时间由正递返因子的击中时间定义),提出一种局部可加的深度学习方案,通过最小化累积局部误差实现求解。随后,提出一种受深度伽辽金法启发的新算法,通过最小化相关遍历偏微分方程系统的残差来逼近解,并依赖于遍历成本的表示。该框架进一步应用于制度切换前向效用模型,推导出刻画制度切换前向效用的一般一致性随机偏微分方程(SPDE),并在齐次情形下重构其eBSDE表示。数值实验验证了所提方法的有效性,重点分析了制度切换对前向偏好结构的影响。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
In this paper, we introduce two neural-network-based numerical schemes for solving systems of coupled ergodic Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (eBSDEs), motivated by the approximation of optimal strategies within the framework of forward utilities in a regime-switching stochastic factor model. Our approach builds on the representation of such models through systems of eBSDEs introduced in [HLT20]. We first establish a link between the solution of the system of ergodic BSDEs and that of an associated multidimensional BSDE with random terminal time, given by the hitting time of the positive recurrent stochastic factor. Building on this representation, we introduce a locally additive deep learning scheme obtained by minimizing aggregated local error terms. We then present a new Deep Galerkin Method (DGM) inspired algorithm that minimizes the residual of the associated ergodic PDE system, relying on a representation of the ergodic cost. Finally, we apply this framework to regime-switching forward utilities in a stochastic factor model. We first derive a general consistency SPDE that characterizes regime-switching forward utilities and retrieve their representation with systems of ergodic BSDEs in the homothetic case. Numerical experiments demonstrate the performance of the proposed methods, with a particular focus on the impact on forward preferences of taking into account regime switches.
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