arXiv:2606.24621math.CTcs.AI2026-06被引 2

用微分几何分析连续干预的因果效应,揭示局部扰动非交换性。

Infinitesimal Causality

  • 通过向量场与李括号建模连续干预的微小变化
  • 李括号残差为零等价于经典弗罗贝尼乌斯定理的可积条件
  • 适用于可观察与潜在变量模型的因果诊断框架

在许多因果模型中,干预可以连续变化。对指定的光滑干预协议求导,会在统计模型上产生向量场,其李括号描述了相应局部扰动的非交换性。我们构建了光滑统计模型上干预的微分几何理论,称为无穷小因果(IC)。给定由可观测干预场张成的常秩分布,定义了法向李括号残差,并证明其为零恰好对应经典弗罗贝尼乌斯定理中的可积性条件。我们建立了零残差性质的坐标不变性,并刻画其对干预协议、可观测张成和度量的依赖关系。全观测与潜变量示例阐明了因果解释所需的额外结构假设。我们还区分了统计参数流形上的切向量与随机核导数。在马尔可夫范畴的一阶线性化中,归一化和拷贝相容性带来类型正确的初阶缺陷。归一化对可微随机核路径自动成立,而拷贝相容性刻画了更严格的确定性或共幺半群保持扰动。几何与核级构造共同使IC成为基于李括号的因果诊断的精确基础,并明确了从局部干预几何推导因果结论所需的前提。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Interventions can be varied continuously in many causal models. Differentiating a specified smooth intervention protocol produces vector fields on a statistical model, and their Lie brackets describe the noncommutativity of the corresponding local perturbations. We formulate this differential geometry of interventions on smooth statistical models and call the resulting framework infinitesimal causality (IC). Given a constant-rank distribution spanned by visible intervention fields, we define the normal Lie-bracket residual and show that its vanishing is exactly the involutivity condition in the classical Frobenius theorem. We establish the coordinate invariance of the zero-residual property and characterize its dependence on the intervention protocol, visible span, and metric. Fully observed and latent-variable examples delineate the additional structural assumptions needed to interpret bracket residuals causally. We also distinguish tangent vectors on a statistical parameter manifold from derivatives of stochastic kernels. In the finite-state linearization of a Markov category, normalization and copy compatibility yield well-typed first-order defects. Normalization is automatic for differentiable paths of stochastic kernels, whereas copy compatibility characterizes a more restrictive deterministic or comonoid-preserving perturbation. Together, the geometric and kernel-level constructions make IC a precise foundation for Lie-bracket-based causal diagnostics and identify the assumptions required to pass from local intervention geometry to causal conclusions.

因果推断微分几何李括号干预分析

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